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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
63
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
42.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
38.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Supreme Industries
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
Rising Environmental Rules And Cost Risks Will Derail Outlook
Key Takeaways Reliance on traditional plastics and slow innovation expose Supreme to shrinking demand, regulatory pressures, and disruption from competitors offering sustainable alternatives. Volatile input costs, rising compliance expenses, and limited diversification threaten profitability and long-term growth as industry shifts toward sustainability.
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₹3.19k
FV
34.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
12.53%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
eMemory Technology
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Quantum Risks Will Erode Prospects While Edge Demand Will Rise
Key Takeaways Reliance on a narrow product suite and exposure to supply chain risks may limit sustainable growth as competitive and technological pressures intensify. Shifts in customer in-sourcing, rapid technology change, and emerging computing paradigms could threaten long-term relevance, pricing power, and earnings momentum.
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NT$3.00k
FV
33.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
31.59%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Grifols
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Donor Shortages And Competitive Pressures Will Erode Plasma Demand
Key Takeaways Advances in gene therapies, regulatory tightening, and new competitors threaten Grifols's plasma-derived business, increasing risks to revenue, margins, and market share. Heavy reliance on US plasma collection, persistent donor shortages, and high leverage present ongoing operational, financial, and reputational challenges.
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€9.00
FV
43.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.98%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Gerdau
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Brazil Import Pressures Will Strain Margins Though Efficiencies Will Improve
Key Takeaways Global infrastructure demand, recycled steel, and energy investments support growth, but import competition and regulatory delays in Brazil could undermine margins and revenue. High CapEx and technology investments boost ESG performance, yet risks from alternative materials, protectionism, and execution shortfalls may challenge future profitability and capital allocation.
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R$17.00
FV
4.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Securitas
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Rising Labor Costs And AI Will Undermine Guarding Services
Key Takeaways Overdependence on labor-intensive services and lagging technology growth undermine ability to adapt as automation and cyber priorities reshape industry demand. Rising labor costs, strict privacy laws, and intensifying competition threaten margins and restrict expansion of integrated, technology-driven solutions.
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SEK 112.00
FV
31.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Davide Campari-Milano
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Premium Spirits Will Face Declining Demand And Rising Costs
Key Takeaways Declining alcohol consumption and shifting consumer preferences pose persistent challenges to revenue growth and core brand performance. Rising regulatory costs, supply chain pressures, and retailer consolidation are threatening profitability and market share sustainability.
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€4.09
FV
58.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.42%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Shiseido Company
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Stagnant Japanese Demand And Legacy Costs Will Hamper Future Progress
Key Takeaways Heavy dependence on a declining domestic market and underperformance internationally will constrain revenue growth and place continued pressure on operating margins. Higher compliance and operational costs, alongside eroding brand equity and market share, will limit profitability and challenge Shiseido's premium positioning.
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JP¥1.74k
FV
38.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.61%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
BRF
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Rising Regulatory Burdens And Flexitarian Trends Will Erode Profitability
Key Takeaways Structural shifts toward alternative proteins and mounting competition challenge BRF's sales volumes, growth prospects, and pricing power in core markets. Regulatory, environmental, and macroeconomic pressures threaten profitability, increase operating expenses, and heighten earnings volatility for the foreseeable future.
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R$17.30
FV
13.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.19%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
Yapi ve Kredi Bankasi
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Turkey's Economic Instability Will Compress Margins Amid Fintech Rivalry
Key Takeaways Intensifying economic and regulatory challenges in Turkey threaten profitability, asset quality, and constrain Yapi ve Kredi Bankasi's sustainable earnings growth prospects. Fierce competition from fintechs and vulnerability to local currency risks could undermine market share, income stability, and long-term returns.
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₺27.10
FV
25.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
47.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
12 days ago
author updated this narrative
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