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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
68
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
18
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Livestock Feeds
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Livestock Feeds Plc (H1/Q2 2025)
Livestock Feeds Plc reported a 62% decline in profit after tax in H1 2025 compared to H1 2024, driven by a steep rise in finance costs and a weaker net margin, despite solid revenue growth. The company's cost of borrowing and high leverage have significantly eroded operating profits.
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₦10.00
FV
19.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
10
users have commented on this narrative
8
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Vitafoam Nigeria
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
VITAFOAM NIG PLC.- QUARTER 3 - FINANCIAL STATEMENT FOR 2025
Vitafoam Nigeria Plc has demonstrated strong financial resilience in the first 9 months of FY 2025, with a notable turnaround from losses in FY 2024 to robust profitability. The company’s strategic positioning in Nigeria’s growing consumer durables sector, alongside improved margins, cost efficiency, and a strengthened balance sheet, supports a positive investment outlook.
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₦77.62
FV
5.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
28.22%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
TRAN
Transcorp Power
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Transcorp Power Plc Q2/H1 result– Resilient Earnings Growth Despite Margin Pressure
Transcorp Power Plc reported a solid 52% YoY revenue growth in H1 2025, driven by improved electricity generation and billing efficiency. However, rising costs — particularly in fuel, operations, and finance — compressed margins and impacted quarterly profitability.
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₦360.00
FV
20.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
25.17%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
United Capital
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
United Capital Plc – Q2/H1 2025 Performance Analysis
United Capital Plc has delivered a strong performance in H1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in earnings and total comprehensive income, despite a modest decline in asset base. The firm demonstrates excellent profitability, robust fee and commission income growth, and prudent cost management, making it a compelling pick for investors seeking exposure to the financial services sector.
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₦18.00
FV
13.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Target
AS
AscendedInvestor
Community Contributor
(Hold) Borderline Buy
Possible A.I driven and efficiency profit margin gains could send stock higher. D.E.I boycotts will falter.
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US$123.63
FV
19.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
15 days ago
author updated this narrative
Porsche Automobil Holding
ST
StefanoF
Community Contributor
Is Porsche Automobil Holding set to surpass analyst targets with fair value at €40
Based on my research, here's a brief fundamental analysis and DCF valuation of Porsche Automobil Holding SE (PAH3): Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Porsche SE is a holding company that owns 52.2% of Volkswagen AG (including 12 brands: Audi, Bentley, Bugatti, Ducati, Lamborghini, MAN, Porsche, Scania, SEAT, ŠKODA, Volkswagen Commercial Vehicles and Volkswagen Passenger Cars) and has investments in mobility and industrial technology 2024 Financial Performance: Profit after tax: €2.51 billion (9M 2024), down 34% YoY from €3.8 billion 2024 full-year profit forecast: €2.4-4.4 billion range Net debt projected: €5.0-5.5 billion by year-end 2024 2024 dividend: €1.910 per preferred share, €1.904 per ordinary share Key Challenges: Expected significant non-cash impairment losses on VW and Porsche AG investments for 2024, making group result after tax significantly negative Trading at 29.8% discount to NAV Heavy reliance on dividends from VW and Porsche AG for debt servicing DCF Valuation Current Market Data: Current stock price: €36.77 (as of April 28, 2025) Analyst average price target: €45.78 (range: €35-78) DCF Analysis: PAH3's DCF value cannot be reliably calculated due to the holding company structure and irregular cash flow patterns. However, alternative valuation approaches suggest: Intrinsic value estimate: $6.849 USD (€6.40 approx.) - shows 26% undervaluation based on multiples-only approach Analyst consensus implies 31.74% upside potential to €45.78 Investment Thesis: Strengths: Exposure to leading automotive brands, solid dividend history, trading at discount to NAV Risks: High leverage (€5.3B net debt), impairment charges, dependence on underlying holdings' performance Conclusion: PAH3 appears undervalued at current levels, but traditional DCF valuation is challenging due to its holding company structure.
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€40.00
FV
14.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Cerro de Pasco Resources
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
A CASE FOR USD$2.50 (CAD$3.44) BY 2028 (A 5-10 BAGGER)
Projection for December 2028, Assuming Silver at USD 100, Oil at USD 50/Barrel, Gallium Prices Stable, and All Production Goals Achieved Company Overview Cerro de Pasco Resources Inc. (TSXV:CDPR) is a Canadian junior mining company focused on silver, zinc, and lead exploration and development, primarily through its El Metalurgista concession in Peru.
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CA$3.44
FV
86.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
105.46%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
11
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
32
users have followed this narrative
2 months ago
author updated this narrative
Bunge Global
TI
TimB
Community Contributor
Bunge Global presents a compelling turnaround story
Bunge Global presents a compelling turnaround story, trading through temporary headwinds toward stronger fundamentals. The pending Viterra acquisition will dramatically expand Bunge's global agricultural infrastructure across 37 countries.
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US$84.31
FV
7.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
6.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
24 days ago
author updated this narrative
Africa Prudential
WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Africa Prudential Plc Q2/H1 result– Strong Interest Income Drives Earnings Growth Amid Operational Headwinds
Overview: Africa Prudential delivered a strong first-half performance in 2025, growing profit after tax by 72.6% YoY to ₦1.35 billion, largely on the back of a surge in interest income and improved revenue from contracts with customers. However, rising operating expenses, significant drawdown in cash position, and elevated customer deposit liabilities present risks to liquidity and capital efficiency.
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₦13.08
FV
21.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
5.50%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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