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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
16
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
38
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
16
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
45
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
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Fujitsu
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Cloud And AI Adoption Will Modernize Global Operations
Key Takeaways Fujitsu's focus on cloud applications and business model innovation is driving revenue growth, while AI adoption and delivery service transformation improve profitability. Strategic investments in AI and quantum computing are poised to differentiate Fujitsu's technology offerings, enhancing competitiveness and long-term growth.
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JP¥3.68k
FV
9.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.96%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Margins Will Compress Amid Cost Pressures Yet Capacity May Expand
Key Takeaways Earnings growth and margins face pressure from slow order book conversion, reliance on fixed-price contracts, and normalization away from recent windfall profits. High dependence on Indian defense procurement and limited export diversification heighten vulnerability to policy changes, cost inflation, and shifting competitive and technological dynamics.
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₹2.10k
FV
31.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.33%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Daimler Truck Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Integration Of India And China Operations Will Improve Operational Efficiency
Key Takeaways Reorganization and cost reduction programs aim to enhance operational efficiency and improve net margins, despite economic uncertainties. Export and zero-emission vehicle strategies are set to drive revenue growth and capitalize on sustainable transport trends globally.
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€44.73
FV
4.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.13%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
36
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Nissan Motor
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Delayed EV Rollouts And Tariff Hurdles Will Shrink Market Share
Key Takeaways Delays in electric vehicle launches, quality issues, and brand perception challenges threaten Nissan's revenue, market share, and earnings recovery in crucial regions. Rising trade barriers, heavy technology investments, and alliance uncertainty pressure costs, liquidity, and the effectiveness of long-term restructuring plans.
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JP¥250.00
FV
26.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-4.13%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
National Bank of Canada
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Ongoing Digital Transformation Will Streamline Operations And Optimize Capital Utilization
Key Takeaways Integration with Canadian Western Bank is expected to boost net margins and earnings through revenue synergies and enhanced operational efficiencies. Expansion into cash management and enhanced wealth services for CWB clients could drive increased interest income and fee-based revenue.
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CA$138.07
FV
5.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.84%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
42
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Oil India
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Fossil Fuel Decline Will Imperil Oil Margins Amid Renewables Surge
Key Takeaways The accelerating global shift to renewables and alternative fuels poses significant risks to Oil India's long-term growth, profitability, and core business operations. Limited diversification and ageing assets make the company vulnerable to commodity price swings, regulatory pressures, and declining hydrocarbon demand.
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₹317.62
FV
40.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-9.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hapag-Lloyd
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
EU Emission Trading And Cape Rerouting Will Hurt Operations
Key Takeaways Increased transport expenses due to longer shipments and environmental compliance costs will likely pressure net margins and earnings. Investments in fleet and infrastructure carry risks, as uncertainties in demand and geopolitical factors could impact revenue stability and financial health.
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€115.09
FV
14.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-3.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Thai Beverage
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 16 Analysts
Demand Dips And Costs Will Cripple Spirits Yet Efficiency Lifts
Key Takeaways Economic weakness and rising health consciousness are suppressing demand in core segments, risking stagnant revenue and loss of market share. Expansion into premium and non-alcoholic products faces execution risks, with slow growth and weak associated companies weighing on earnings.
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S$0.45
FV
4.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
Otsuka Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
New Product Launches And International Expansion May Offset Risks From JYNARQUE Exclusivity Loss
Key Takeaways Expanding products in pharma and nutraceutical sectors aims to boost revenue, while aggressive international growth improves margins via economies of scale. Strategic focus on Women's Health and specialty pharmaceuticals, alongside R&D investments, targets high-value markets and breakthroughs to enhance net margins.
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JP¥9.13k
FV
20.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.24%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
7 days ago
author updated this narrative
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