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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings — the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes — including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B — now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling — a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$268.43
FV
27.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
21 days ago
author updated this narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
43.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
41.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
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Franklin Resources
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Global Investable Assets And ESG Trends Will Shape Future Expansion
Key Takeaways Franklin's leadership in private market products and global expansion positions it to capture accelerated asset growth, especially in emerging markets and sustainable investments. Strategic investments in digital infrastructure and AI are expected to drive margin expansion and earnings growth, even amid market volatility and industry fee pressures.
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US$31.00
FV
20.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
0.62%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Element Solutions
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
AI And Power Electronics Will Drive Future Market Opportunities
Key Takeaways Strong demand in AI, advanced packaging, and data centers, along with Asian consumer electronics recovery, could lead to increased revenue growth. Investments in semiconductors and power electronics, plus strategic M&A, may enhance margins and long-term shareholder value.
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US$27.96
FV
15.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Permian Resources
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Delaware Basin Drilling Will Harness Persistent Global Energy Demand
Key Takeaways Low-cost operations and advanced technologies position Permian Resources for strong margins, robust free cash flow, and resilience, even amid commodity market volatility. Strategic M&A, disciplined capital allocation, and growing dividends drive sustained growth, financial strength, and enhanced shareholder returns.
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US$22.56
FV
36.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.83%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Watts Water Technologies
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Nexa Development And I-CON Systems Integration Will Expand Digital Offerings
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions and digital solutions are anticipated to drive revenue growth and margin improvement amidst cost-saving initiatives and market diversification. Proactive capital strategies, including share buybacks and dividends, are aligned to boost EPS growth and shareholder value.
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US$247.20
FV
2.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Civitas Resources
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Debt Reduction Will Improve Cash Flow Margins, But DJ Basin Divestments May Affect Future Revenues
Key Takeaways Civitas Resources enhances financial stability and sustainability by optimizing cash flow, reducing debt, and prioritizing high-return projects with streamlined operations. Strategic acquisitions and ESG focus position Civitas for long-term growth, leveraging operational improvements and environmental compliance for stable earnings.
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US$43.14
FV
23.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-3.18%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
38
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
MGIC Investment
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Share Repurchases And Steady 85% Persistency Will Drive Resilient Performance
Key Takeaways MGIC's strong capital returns and disciplined risk management signal stable earnings growth and net margin maintenance despite economic fluctuations. Legislative changes and reinsurance strategies could boost MGIC's demand and cost efficiency, positively impacting revenue and operational flexibility.
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US$27.00
FV
5.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Flowserve
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Record Aftermarket Bookings And Nuclear Orders Will Shape Future Markets
Key Takeaways Strategic focuses, including the 80/20 program and strong aftermarket activity, are set to enhance gross margins and boost operational efficiency. Effective tariff mitigation and a robust project pipeline in key markets support strong revenue growth despite external pressures.
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US$64.70
FV
15.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.71%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
15
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Avalon Technologies
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Escalating Protectionism And Rising Costs Will Erode Future Margins
Key Takeaways Rising protectionism and shifting supply chains jeopardize Avalon's revenue by pushing clients toward local alternatives and threatening its market position. Margin compression, financial strain, and commoditization risk challenge long-term growth as competition intensifies, costs rise, and technological demands increase.
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₹485.00
FV
64.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
22.78%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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AES
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Decarbonization And Electrification Will Expand Renewable Opportunities
Key Takeaways Strong renewables growth, long-term contracts, and robust supply chain strategy drive stable revenues, resilient margins, and minimize policy and tariff risks. Leading access to low-cost, ESG-focused capital and a high proportion of contracted cash flows enable self-funded growth and improved long-term financial stability.
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US$21.56
FV
37.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.84%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
2
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
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