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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
30.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
9
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0
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23
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Updated
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Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
6
users have liked this narrative
1
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24
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Key Assumptions: Successful Guyana and South America Deposits: ExxonMobil’s Stabroek Block in Guyana is assumed to achieve full operational success, contributing significantly to production growth. The block is estimated to hold over 11 billion barrels of recoverable oil, with production scaling rapidly.
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US$189.00
FV
40.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
14.85%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
1
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
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Silgan Holdings
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Macroeconomic Headwinds And Acquisition Risks Will Shape US Packaging Prospects
Key Takeaways Potential macroeconomic challenges and slowdowns in product launches may hinder the company's optimistic revenue growth forecast for 2025. Acquisition reliance and increased financial burdens might strain profit margins, posing risks to earnings and free cash flow projections.
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US$47.00
FV
18.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
3.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
TAL Education Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
Learning Centers Expansion And AI Integration Will Increase Efficiency
Key Takeaways Increased selling and marketing spend aims to enhance market presence but may constrain net margin improvements due to brand-building investments. Expanding learning centers and AI-driven services may slow margin growth, with potential pressure from rising R&D and moderated revenue expectations.
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US$9.55
FV
6.8% overvalued
intrinsic discount
22.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Allegro MicroSystems
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
Localizing China Supply Chain And New Products Will Drive Success
Key Takeaways Strategic localization in China aims to reduce costs and improve margins, though transitional period may temporarily impact fiscal margins. Record new product introductions in high-growth sectors target revenue growth, but gains may be slower than expected due to transitional challenges.
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US$23.00
FV
47.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.89%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Krystal Biotech
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Uncertain Gene Therapy Dynamics Will Fuel Challenges Yet Spark Hope
Key Takeaways Reliance on Vyjuvek faces challenges from unpredictable patient treatment patterns, pricing pressures, and reimbursement risks, impacting both revenue visibility and long-term margin stability. Expanding into new indications through the pipeline and broader patient access drives costs and risk, particularly given high R&D investment and dependence on successful clinical outcomes.
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US$176.00
FV
13.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.70%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
PVH
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Legacy Brand Erosion And Shrinking Markets Will Challenge Stability
Key Takeaways Erosion of brand relevance and changing consumer values threaten PVH's pricing power, revenue stability, and long-term brand equity. Reliance on legacy wholesale channels and shrinking core markets heighten margin pressure and earnings volatility amid rapid industry disruption.
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US$64.00
FV
17.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
0.93%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Vertex
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Growing ERP Competition And Escalating Regulations Will Hinder Progress
Key Takeaways Increasing competition and industry consolidation threaten Vertex’s revenue growth, customer retention, and ability to command premium pricing in a commoditizing market. Rising regulatory demands and heavy investment in AI and development are pressuring profit margins and hindering sustainable earnings improvement.
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US$31.00
FV
8.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
16.46%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Murphy Oil
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Eagle Ford Underperformance And Gulf Disruptions Will Weaken Outlook
Key Takeaways High development costs in offshore projects and operational execution issues may compress margins and affect earnings. Market exposure and Gulf production disruptions present volatility and operational challenges impacting revenue growth projections.
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US$23.00
FV
17.2% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-1.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
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0
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
Willdan Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Electricity Demand And Decarbonization Will Reshape Energy Infrastructure
Key Takeaways Rising demand for energy infrastructure and sustainability aligns with Willdan’s solutions, fueling strong growth, multi-year contracts, and enhanced revenue visibility. Expansion into technology-driven services and disciplined cost management are driving recurring revenues, margin improvements, and gains in profitability.
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US$73.50
FV
13.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
11.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
8
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6 days ago
author updated this narrative
American Coastal Insurance
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
Successful Launch Of Apartment Program And Catastrophe Bonds Will Stabilize Future Earnings Outlook
Key Takeaways Strategic underwriting and new reinsurance protections are poised to boost premium growth, stabilize earnings, and improve margins. The Interboro sale will enhance financial flexibility and positively impact future earnings by providing additional cash.
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US$15.00
FV
30.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
10.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
6 days ago
author updated this narrative
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