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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
63
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Pacific Basin Shipping
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 7 Analysts
Freight Rate Improvements Will Boost Earnings In 2025, But Oversupply May Pose Challenges
Key Takeaways Strategic fleet renewal and energy-efficient vessels aim to enhance operating efficiencies and reduce costs, potentially boosting net margins. Strong shareholder commitment through share buybacks and dividends could increase earnings per share and enhance investor confidence.
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HK$2.02
FV
12.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-2.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Lovisa Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
Expansion Into Zambia And E-Commerce Investments Will Drive Future Success
Key Takeaways Expansion into new markets and improved supply chain efficiency signal potential revenue and margin growth, supported by physical and digital strategies. Comprehensive growth strategy focuses on both mature and emerging markets, enhancing Lovisa's ability to capture long-term earnings opportunities.
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AU$28.74
FV
17.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
14.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Alpine Income Property Trust
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
Barbell Investment Strategy Aims For Earnings Stability, But Tenant Bankruptcies And Interest Rate Risks May Affect Performance
Key Takeaways Strategic acquisitions and the barbell investment approach aim to provide stable cash flows and growth potential, potentially improving earnings reliability. Optimized asset management through non-core property sales and selective high-yield loans targets earnings optimization and enhanced net margins.
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US$18.32
FV
22.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.90%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ocado Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
Automated Fulfilment Will Offer Upside Amid Margin Risks
Key Takeaways Overestimated international licensing and automation demand, along with rising competition, could limit Ocado's revenue growth, margin expansion, and cash generation. Persistent R&D costs and evolving market risks may constrain profitability, while competitive pressures and regulatory challenges threaten valuation and long-term growth.
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UK£3.00
FV
10.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
49.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
21
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Fossil Demand Fears And Retail Expansion Will Shape Future Performance
Key Takeaways Overoptimism about sustained revenue and margin growth overlooks risks from alternative energy, shifting fuel demand, and increased competition in retail and fuel markets. Challenges from reliance on imported crude, regulatory changes, and limited diversification could constrain long-term profitability and compress margins amid sector transition.
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₹126.00
FV
2.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-2.66%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Banca Generali
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Future PE Ratio Will Exceed GB Capital Markets Average, Suggesting Overvaluation
Key Takeaways Strong client deposit growth and strategic asset management signal confidence in sustained revenue expansion and stable margins. Targeted recruitment and innovative products aim to boost profits by enhancing wealth management and capturing new revenue streams.
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€51.07
FV
5.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.07%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Hera
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Rising CapEx And ARERA Rules Will Compress Margins
Key Takeaways Increased competition and regulatory changes may lead to margin compression and impact Hera's profitability and growth in the electricity supply market. Capital expenditure on new projects could pressure free cash flow and elevate debt, affecting net margins and future earnings growth.
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€4.18
FV
9.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-1.45%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
mBank
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Swiss Franc Settlements And Tier 2 Issuance Will Secure Efficiency
Key Takeaways mBank's strategic expansion in loans and cost management enhances market share and net margins, promising revenue growth with controlled expenses. Settlement focus and investment-grade ratings reduce legal risks and borrowing costs, supporting sustainable growth and earnings stability.
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zł794.50
FV
9.0% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.55%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
0
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
2888
Shin Kong Financial Holding
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
Anticipated 28% Revenue Fall Will Darken Insurance Industry Outlook
Key Takeaways Strong growth in foreign currency policies and CSM products is enhancing Shin Kong Life's revenue and market share leadership. Strategic lending and investment strategies are driving revenue and earnings growth across Shin Kong Financial's banking and securities divisions.
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NT$10.50
FV
12.4% overvalued
intrinsic discount
-44.91%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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