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Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
24
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
62
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
67
users have followed this narrative
New
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Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
17
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Danaos
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Securing Long-Term Contracts Will Provide 97% Revenue Visibility For 2025
Key Takeaways Strong long-term contracts and charter backlog ensure stable cash flows, enabling strategic investments and protecting against market volatility. Continued investment in modern vessels and strategic financial management supports operational efficiency, competitive position, and shareholder value enhancement.
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US$99.50
FV
8.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-2.52%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
20
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
SFL
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Vessel Upgrades Will Attract Long-Term Charters Amid Market Uncertainties
Key Takeaways Stable future cash flows are ensured by a strong charter backlog with investment-grade customers, enhancing revenue stability and earnings visibility. Investments in vessel upgrades and successful refinancing increase operational efficiency and financial flexibility, supporting growth and profitability.
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US$11.30
FV
20.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-3.81%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
12
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Ameresco
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Clean Energy Tax Incentives And European Expansion Will Strengthen Future Prospects
Key Takeaways Strong project backlog and energy asset expansion signal robust future revenue and growth opportunities in energy operations. Favorable federal policies and clean energy tax incentives enhance revenue potential and optimize tax liabilities through credit opportunities.
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US$22.11
FV
28.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.80%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Janus International Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Acquisition Of TMC Will Expand Services In Growing LTL Trucking Industry
Key Takeaways Newly introduced self-storage product lines and TMC acquisition position Janus for growth and market expansion, tapping into rising demand and new industry segments. Planned cost reductions and a strategic focus on R3 projects contribute to potential margin improvements, revenue stability, and increased shareholder value through strategic M&A.
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US$10.00
FV
14.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.35%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Revolve Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
Expanding Into Beauty, Men's, And Home Will Increase Customer Engagement
Key Takeaways Strategic international enlargement and improved customer experience will drive sales growth, leveraging large international market opportunities to boost revenue. Investments in AI and data strategies will enhance product discovery, optimize marketing, and improve logistics, leading to increased efficiency and higher margins.
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US$22.93
FV
12.3% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.05%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
STAAR Surgical
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 10 Analysts
Introduction Of EVO+ Will Open Market Opportunities In 2025
Key Takeaways Anticipated recovery in China driven by potential demand rebound and new product launch could boost revenue and ASPs. Strong financial position with no debt enables investment in selective growth initiatives and optimization of cash flow management. The company faces challenges from weak macroeconomic conditions in China, reliance on a single distributor model, competitive pressures, and potential impacts from cost-cutting measures.
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US$19.20
FV
7.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
8.44%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
2
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Steelcase
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Modernized Workspace Demand And ERP Implementation Will Transform Operations
Key Takeaways Strong demand for modernized workspaces and growth in education and healthcare sectors supports potential revenue growth. Implementing operational efficiencies and new technologies aims to reduce costs and improve competitiveness, boosting margins and earnings.
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US$16.25
FV
37.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
2.78%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
11
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Photronics
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
Shift To High-End IC Markets Will Offset Challenges From Industry Softness
Key Takeaways Shifting to higher-end IC markets and expanding US capacity could enhance margins and capitalize on regional opportunities. AI-driven demand and strong cash position enable strategic investments and revenue growth potential.
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US$31.00
FV
36.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
1.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
33
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Skyward Specialty Insurance Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Shifting To Less Cyclical Segments Will Reduce Volatility And Improve Stability
Key Takeaways Diversifying into less cycle-exposed segments promises consistent growth and reduced volatility, with strategic investments boosting financial stability and earnings. Strengthened data accuracy and talented underwriter expansion position Skyward to capitalize on niche market growth opportunities effectively.
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US$62.22
FV
20.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
11.53%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
3
users have followed this narrative
5 days ago
author updated this narrative
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