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Weekly Picks
Alphabet
BL
BlackGoat
Community Contributor
Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight
Summary Google trades at ~18× forward earnings; the cheapest among the Magnificent 7 Market is too focused on AI threats to Search and antitrust noise Meanwhile, Google is executing across AI, Cloud, and YouTube Key AI differentiator: unmatched distribution across 3B+ users via Search, Gmail, YouTube, Android, Chrome, and Cloud Quietly building a world-class AI infrastructure behind the scenes; including proprietary TPUs and a vertically integrated stack YouTube generated $8.93B in Q1 ad revenue (up 10% YoY); subscriptions hit 270M Google Cloud revenue up 28% YoY to $12.3B; now profitable Optionality from long-term bets like Waymo, DeepMind, and Verily Risk/reward is compelling; a strong candidate to beat the market long term Overview Despite being part of the "Magnificent Seven," Google’s stock lags due to perceived risks around disruption of its Search business from AI competitors and mounting antitrust concerns. But under the hood, Google has quietly built one of the most compelling setups in tech: with deep AI leadership, multiple high-growth businesses, and optionality from long-term moonshots like Waymo.
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US$282.83
FV
32.8% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
23
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
61
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
Planet Labs PBC
AN
andreas_eliades
Community Contributor
Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom
Planet Labs leads the EO market with the largest satellite constellation, poised to capitalize on the growing demand for Earth Observation and geospatial data from companies and governments. Plunging space launch and GPU computation costs combined with advancements in CubeSat and AI technologies are boosting the utility of Earth Observation data.
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US$11.31
FV
45.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
30.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
18
users have liked this narrative
1
users have commented on this narrative
64
users have followed this narrative
New
narrative
Exxon Mobil
AG
Agricola
Community Contributor
Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189
Previous mistake rectified. So as pointed out in the comments, Chevron won the Hess bid (rather than Exxon) and took a large portion of the Stabroek block.
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US$174.00
FV
37.0% undervalued
intrinsic discount
12.97%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
4
users have liked this narrative
4
users have commented on this narrative
16
users have followed this narrative
Updated
narrative
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Azad Engineering
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Mitsubishi And GE Vernova Orders Will Fuel Global Capacity Expansion
Key Takeaways Expanding capacity and order visibility, with a strong export-oriented pipeline, supports multi-year recurring growth and earnings stability from global supply chain shifts. Diversification into high-margin sectors and upgraded operations is set to boost net margins, pricing power, and long-term competitiveness in advanced engineering markets.
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₹2.12k
FV
31.6% undervalued
intrinsic discount
33.06%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
9
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
BW Energy
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Maromba Project Will Increase Production To 50,000 Barrels Per Day
Key Takeaways Major field developments and increased production capacity, particularly from the Maromba project, anticipate boosting future revenue through enhanced capital efficiency. Cost-reduction measures and resource-sharing initiatives could positively impact net margins, supporting long-term financial health and potential reserve growth.
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NOK 43.27
FV
18.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-0.0014%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
5
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Equinor
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 24 Analysts
Accelerated Decarbonization Will Undermine Oil Revenues And Gas Cash Flows
Key Takeaways Equinor faces overvaluation risk due to optimistic assumptions around both oil & gas demand and rapid, profitable renewables growth amid regulatory and margin pressures. High returns and shareholder payouts may be unsustainable, as legacy assets mature, capex needs rise, and tightening ESG regulations limit growth and investment capacity.
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NOK 262.59
FV
0.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
-3.41%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
2
users have commented on this narrative
81
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Groupon
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
Platform Modernization And Focus On Beauty & Wellness Will Boost Future Customer Engagement
Key Takeaways Strategic focus on curated experiences and high-impact categories is expected to drive sustainable revenue growth and positively impact future revenues. Platform modernization and enhanced customer retention initiatives aim to improve user engagement, purchase frequency, and expand marketplace transactions.
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US$30.00
FV
3.1% undervalued
intrinsic discount
9.32%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Canada Goose Holdings
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
Snow Goose Capsule Launch Will Attract New Customers And Increase Brand Heat
Key Takeaways Strategic shift to direct-to-consumer sales and inventory management efforts bolster profit margins and operational efficiency, supporting long-term revenue growth. Expansion into eyewear and lighter apparel increases market reach, enhancing brand relevance and attracting a broader customer base year-round.
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CA$15.91
FV
2.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
3.27%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
10
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Invesco Mortgage Capital
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
Increased Investment In Agency RMBS And Treasury Futures Will Stabilize Future Earnings
Key Takeaways Capital structure improvement and diversified interest rate hedges aim to enhance margins and stabilize earnings, leveraging U.S. Treasury futures to mitigate volatility. Strategic allocation to Agency RMBS and CMBS targets revenue growth and stability, supported by favorable market conditions and attractive risk-adjusted returns.
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US$7.83
FV
3.2% undervalued
intrinsic discount
42.23%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
30
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
1347
Hua Hong Semiconductor
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 20 Analysts
Aggressive Expansion Will Pressure Margins, But New Leadership Could Strengthen Future Position
Key Takeaways Aggressive expansion and new production lines could lead to short-term overcapacity and pressure on net margins. Competition and exchange rate volatility pose risks to earnings and revenue growth, while localization efforts may compress margins initially.
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HK$34.95
FV
12.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
16.74%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
4
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Gentoo Media
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 1 Analyst
Rebranding And Expansion Into Asia And Africa Will Elevate Brand Recognition And Drive Future Success
Key Takeaways Strategic separation and rebranding enable Gentoo Media to focus on acquisitions and high-value markets, enhancing revenue and brand recognition. Expected operational improvements post-split and diversification strategies increase margins, drive shareholder value, and sustain revenue growth.
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NOK 21.28
FV
44.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
7.49%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
7
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Yara International
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 18 Analysts
Premium Fertilizer Margins Will Crumble Under Mounting Headwinds
Key Takeaways Future revenue and margin growth may disappoint due to flat demand, regulatory uncertainty, and rising competition, particularly in specialty and low-carbon fertilizer segments. Overreliance on policy incentives, high pricing, and shifting agricultural trends pose risks to long-term profitability and core volume growth.
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NOK 370.35
FV
3.5% overvalued
intrinsic discount
1.67%
Revenue growth p.a.
Set Fair Value
0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
30
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
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