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American Airlines Group Community
NasdaqGS:AAL Community
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American Airlines Group
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American Airlines Group
PI
PittTheYounger
Community Contributor
American Airlines is the ugly duckling in the US airlines industry
There's a single reason why American is the least attractive of US legacy carriers (in terms of investing, anyway): its balance sheet. If most airlines and certainly those in the US are loaded up to the hilt with debt, American goes so far as to boast negative equity - any startup would go belly-up with a balance sheet such as this one.
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US$7.23
FV
52.6% overvalued
intrinsic discount
2.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
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1
users have liked this narrative
3
users have commented on this narrative
6
users have followed this narrative
4 months ago
author updated this narrative
American Airlines Group
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Domestic Recovery And Upgraded Fleet Will Sustain Future Success
Key Takeaways Domestic strength and premium service enhancements are driving demand recovery, better customer retention, and improving margins through increased revenue streams. Long-term profitability and earnings stability are supported by loyalty program expansion, global alliances, and investments in efficient aircraft.
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US$13.36
FV
17.5% undervalued
intrinsic discount
4.36%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
48
users have followed this narrative
3 days ago
author updated this narrative
American Airlines Group
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Rising Costs And Declining Demand Will Undermine Profitability
Key Takeaways Increasing regulatory, labor, and sustainability pressures are driving up costs and limiting margin flexibility despite ongoing investments in fleet and premium offerings. Structural declines in business travel and shifting demographics threaten long-term revenue growth and hinder the effectiveness of premium and expansion strategies.
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US$8.00
FV
37.9% overvalued
intrinsic discount
4.11%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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0
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0
users have followed this narrative
10 days ago
author updated this narrative
American Airlines Group
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 21 Analysts
Modern Fleet And Global Middle-Class Demand Will Spur Air Travel
Key Takeaways Modern fleet, disciplined cost management, and minimal capital spending are set to drive margin expansion and strong free cash flow as air travel recovers. International network growth, premium travel focus, and a robust loyalty ecosystem support higher-margin revenue and sustained market share gains from digital and premium customers.
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US$19.95
FV
44.7% undervalued
intrinsic discount
5.75%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
users have liked this narrative
0
users have commented on this narrative
1
users have followed this narrative
11 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
AAL
AAL
American Airlines Group
Your Fair Value
US$
Current Price
US$11.03
43.1% overvalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-6b
67b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue US$67.2b
Earnings US$702.8m
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