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AXT, Inc. Stock Price

NasdaqGS:AXTI Community·US$4.5b Market Cap
  • 3 Narratives written by author
  • 0 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 54 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

AXTI Share Price Performance

US$69.06
66.89 (3,082.49%)
US$96.50
Fair Value
US$69.06
66.89 (3,082.49%)
28.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$96.50
Fair Value
Price US$69.06
AnalystConsensusTarget US$96.50
AnalystHighTarget US$90.00
AnalystLowTarget US$73.00

AXTI Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$96.5 28.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

AXTI: Export Permit Uncertainty Will Challenge Margin Strength Moving Forward

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Fair Value US$90 23.3% undervalued intrinsic discount

AI And 5G Will Ignite Compound Semiconductor Revolution

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Fair Value US$73 5.4% undervalued intrinsic discount

China Export Delays And Trade Limits Will Erode Profitability

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US$96.5
28.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
Profit Margin
37.62%
Future PE
61.06x
Price in 2029
US$131.82
US$73
5.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
Profit Margin
49.78%
Future PE
34.25x
Price in 2029
US$99.35
US$90
23.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Profit Margin
42.79%
Future PE
61.3x
Price in 2029
US$119.96

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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AXTI: AI Capacity Expansion And Export Limits Will Balance Future Upside

Fair Value: US$96.5 28.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
27 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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AXTI: Elevated Expectations And Equity Offering Will Intensify Execution Risk

Fair Value: US$73 5.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
2 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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AXTI: Future InP Substrate Demand Will Outweigh Near Term Export Constraints

Fair Value: US$90 23.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
5 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
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Snowflake Analysis

High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.

3 Risks
2 Rewards

AXT, Inc. Key Details

US$95.9m

Revenue

US$75.4m

Cost of Revenue

US$20.5m

Gross Profit

US$34.7m

Other Expenses

-US$14.3m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
-0.22
21.34%
-14.87%
22.5%
View Full Analysis

About AXTI

Founded
1986
Employees
1541
CEO
Morris Young
WebsiteView website
www.axt.com

AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. The company provides indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, high-speed data transfer in data centers, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers and detectors, consumer devices, passive optical networks, silicon photonics, photonic integrated circuits, thermo-photovoltaics, RF amplifier and switching, infrared light-emitting diode (LEDS) motion control, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and infrared thermal imaging. It also offers semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates for use in Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, direct broadcast television, power amplifiers, satellite communications, and solar cells; and semi-conducting GaAs substrates that are used in LEDs, screen displays using micro-LEDs, printer head lasers and LEDs, 3-D sensing using VCSELs, data center communication using VCSELs, sensors for industrial robotics/near-infrared sensors, laser machining, cutting and drilling, optical couplers, solar cells, night vision goggles, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and other lasers. In addition, the company provides germanium substrates for use in multi-junction solar cells for satellites, optical sensors and detectors, terrestrial concentrated photo voltaic cells, infrared detectors, and carrier wafer for LED. Further, it offers 6N+ and 7N+ purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, pyrolytic boron nitride (pBN) crucibles, and pBN insulating parts. It sells its products through direct salesforce in the United States, China, and Europe, as well as through independent sales representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was formerly known as American Xtal Technology, Inc. and changed its name to AXT, Inc. in July 2000. AXT, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

Recent AXTI News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Jun 22

Why I'm Not Chasing AXT Despite Being The Best AI Substrate Story In The Market

Summary AXT's indium phosphide substrate is genuine critical AI infrastructure, with a confirmed $100M backlog and funded capacity doubling — the demand thesis is real. Revenue is gated not by customer demand but by Chinese export permits; Q4 2025 proved one permit drought can erase an entire quarter with no operational failure. At 27x EV/NTM revenue versus a peer median of ~10x, the bull case only returns +16% while the base case implies -34% and the bear case of -77% — is asymmetrical. Rating is hold: the story works, the price doesn't; the setup gets interesting below $60. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

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