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FiscalNote Holdings Will Transform Revenue with 58.51% Growth

H3
h3rbInvested
Community Contributor

Published

January 29 2025

Updated

January 29 2025

Narratives are currently in beta

Risks

Stock appears to be risky if the company does not change its course from dipping below $1. Many software plays have found themselves stuck in the $1-2 range languishing without direction.

As a brand FiscalNote does have a strong market presence with NOTE as a ticker, and a compelling name but the Gen AI angle may have seemed shoehorned in 5 years back. Today, FiscalNote has multiple products in play, and thus a team that must know its way around AI product engineering.

At the same time, the business side of product management needs to realign its vision to combat the price criticisms, and partner with marketing to find ways to generate push-back on some of its price-pain for smaller customers. A careful level of discount can be applied charitably to increase the number of lips that speak highly and any adoption leads to a larger workforce familiar with the tools they offer.

One downside is the lack of profitability, which should be a core focus to keep the stock healthy and above listing minimums. I feel with 600 employees in more than a half dozen cities, the company's raw assets shouldn't be overlooked, but human resources can churn and attrition can weaken a company's identity. Management should look to secure longer term relationships, internally as well as externally, but that's just my opinion.

The Q1/Q2 2025 story of this is stock is: What will happen after the March earnings call? Will we see it derail a recent Q1 2025 bull cycle into a pop and flop, or will the narrative of the company's Gen AI play help put it among the want-to-haves in the AI tech space?

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Disclaimer

The user h3rb has a position in NYSE:NOTE. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value
US$0.9
50.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
h3rb's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture-355m153m201920212023202520272028Revenue US$153.4mEarnings US$12.1m
% p.a.
Decrease
Increase
Current revenue growth rate
3.31%
Professional Services revenue growth rate
0.23%