logo

AI, Technology, And Canadian Expansion Will Drive Future Opportunities

AN
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
Published
08 Aug 24
Updated
23 Apr 25
Share
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$243.93
2.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
23 Apr
US$237.72
Loading
1Y
21.1%
7D
4.2%

Author's Valuation

US$243.9

2.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Key Takeaways

  • Investments in technology and product innovation are boosting long-term margin expansion and earnings potential.
  • The SIS acquisition strengthens Broadridge's position in Canada's wealth market, enhancing revenue through upselling existing solutions.
    Of course, please provide the financial narrative for Broadridge Financial Solutions so that I can create the summary based on the details you provide.

Catalysts

About Broadridge Financial Solutions
    Provides investor communications and technology-driven solutions for the financial services industry.
What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
  • Broadridge is positioned to capitalize on democratizing and digitizing investing, simplifying capital markets, and modernizing wealth management, which is driving optimism for strong future revenue growth.
  • The company is benefiting from strong organic revenue growth driven by new sales and continued equity position growth, supporting expectations for increased revenue.
  • Broadridge's investments in technology, AI, and product innovation are expected to support long-term margin expansion and enhance earnings potential.
  • The SIS acquisition is expanding Broadridge's presence in the Canadian wealth management market, creating opportunities for revenue growth through upselling existing solutions.
  • Broadridge's healthy sales pipeline and record event-driven revenues from governance activities are expected to contribute to strong recurring revenue and adjusted EPS growth, positively impacting earnings.

Broadridge Financial Solutions Earnings and Revenue Growth

Broadridge Financial Solutions Future Earnings and Revenue Growth

Assumptions

How have these above catalysts been quantified?
  • Analysts are assuming Broadridge Financial Solutions's revenue will grow by 5.9% annually over the next 3 years.
  • Analysts assume that profit margins will increase from 11.4% today to 14.2% in 3 years time.
  • Analysts expect earnings to reach $1.1 billion (and earnings per share of $9.66) by about April 2028, up from $759.1 million today.
  • In order for the above numbers to justify the analysts price target, the company would need to trade at a PE ratio of 29.5x on those 2028 earnings, down from 36.2x today. This future PE is greater than the current PE for the US Professional Services industry at 19.7x.
  • Analysts expect the number of shares outstanding to decline by 0.98% per year for the next 3 years.
  • To value all of this in today's terms, we will use a discount rate of 6.6%, as per the Simply Wall St company report.

Broadridge Financial Solutions Future Earnings Per Share Growth

Broadridge Financial Solutions Future Earnings Per Share Growth

Risks

What could happen that would invalidate this narrative?
    .

Valuation

How have all the factors above been brought together to estimate a fair value?
  • The analysts have a consensus price target of $243.926 for Broadridge Financial Solutions based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $275.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $220.0.
  • In order for you to agree with the analyst's consensus, you'd need to believe that by 2028, revenues will be $7.9 billion, earnings will come to $1.1 billion, and it would be trading on a PE ratio of 29.5x, assuming you use a discount rate of 6.6%.
  • Given the current share price of $235.0, the analyst price target of $243.93 is 3.7% higher. The relatively low difference between the current share price and the analyst consensus price target indicates that they believe on average, the company is fairly priced.
  • We always encourage you to reach your own conclusions though. So sense check these analyst numbers against your own assumptions and expectations based on your understanding of the business and what you believe is probable.

How well do narratives help inform your perspective?

Disclaimer

Warren A.I. is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by Warren A.I. are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that Warren A.I.'s analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

Read more narratives