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Best vs worst case scenarios

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Duffelbag65Not Invested
Community Contributor

Published

October 11 2024

Updated

October 17 2024

Narratives are currently in beta

In the most optimistic scenario, TGS capitalizes on its merger with PGS, leveraging the cost synergies of over $50 million annually​. This creates a significant financial buffer, allowing the company to focus on strategic growth while optimizing operational efficiencies.

With the combined capabilities, TGS could continue expanding its seismic data library, attracting more clients globally as the energy transition accelerates. This would position the company as a crucial player in both traditional oil and gas exploration and newer sectors like offshore wind and carbon capture technologies​

In a less favorable scenario, TGS might struggle with the challenges of integrating PGS, encountering higher-than-expected costs or operational inefficiencies. The estimated $50 million in cost synergies may not fully materialize, and supply chain issues or delays in the adoption of new technologies could dampen the company’s growth prospects.

Externally, the seismic market could face downturns due to volatility in oil and gas prices or slower-than-expected investments in new energy sources like offshore wind or carbon capture​. Additionally, a global economic slowdown or unfavorable geopolitical events could lower demand for exploration services, leading to reduced revenue.

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Disclaimer

The user Duffelbag65 holds no position in OB:TGS. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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Fair Value
NOK 18.4
480.4% overvalued intrinsic discount
Duffelbag65's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture01b2b3b20132016201920222024202520282029Revenue US$3.9bEarnings US$130.8m
% p.a.
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Current revenue growth rate
6.15%
Energy Services revenue growth rate
0.14%
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