Analysts Lower OCI Price Target Amid Margin Pressures While Outlook Remains Stable

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

01 Aug 25

Updated

05 Dec 25

Views

134

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

-72.7%

7D

5.3%

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1Y

-72.7%

7D

5.3%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 6 10:05 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

€4.7538.9% undervalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 05 Dec 25

Fair value Decreased 18%

OCI: Future Upside Will Emerge As Margin Pressures Gradually Stabilize

The analyst price target for OCI has been cut materially, dropping from about EUR 6.00 to roughly EUR 4.30, as analysts factor in lower fair value, reduced profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E despite slightly stronger revenue growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Analysts have grown more cautious on OCI, with a series of target cuts and a recent downgrade reflecting a reassessment of both earnings power and valuation support.

Shared on 21 Nov 25

Fair value Increased 0.24%

OCI: Price Upside Is Anticipated As Downgrades Signal Stabilizing Prospects

OCI's analyst price target has been revised downward significantly, reflecting a cautious outlook from analysts who cite recent downgrades and reduced revenue growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Analysts have provided a range of commentary following recent changes to OCI's target price and rating.

Shared on 06 Nov 25

OCI: Price Recovery Is Expected To Follow Recent Neutral Analyst Revisions

OCI’s analyst price target has been revised downward, with recent updates reflecting reduced expectations. Analysts cite ongoing market challenges as the rationale for lowering targets from €6.07 and €8.50 to €4.30 and €6.00, respectively.

Shared on 23 Oct 25

OCI’s analyst price target has been cut significantly, with recent research highlighting a reduction from EUR 6.07 to EUR 4.30. Analysts cite ongoing margin pressures and a higher discount rate as the key drivers for the update.

Shared on 09 Oct 25

Fair value Decreased 12%

OCI’s analyst price target has been reduced significantly, with recent revisions lowering it from as high as €8.50 to €4.30. Analysts cite expectations of slower revenue growth and a lower fair value estimate in their updated outlooks.

Shared on 25 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 10%

The decline in OCI's consensus price target reflects reduced future earnings expectations, as seen in the lower forward P/E, amid a slightly higher discount rate, resulting in a new target of €6.62. What's in the News OCI N.V. announced a USD 700 million distribution (USD 3.31 per share) for Q3 2025 via capital repayment and extraordinary cash dividend, following AGM resolutions and subject to creditor opposition period lapsing.

Shared on 10 Sep 25

Fair value Decreased 4.14%

A notable decline in OCI's net profit margin from 5.37% to 4.54% has likely driven the consensus analyst price target down from €7.70 to €7.38. What's in the News OCI N.V. announced a USD 700 million distribution (USD 3.31 per share) for Q3 2025, to be paid via capital repayment and extraordinary cash dividend on 5 September 2025, following the annual general meeting resolutions.

Shared on 19 Aug 25

Fair value Decreased 7.80%

The consensus price target for OCI has been revised down as analysts anticipate lower future earnings growth (evidenced by a sharply reduced Future P/E) and apply a higher discount rate, resulting in a new fair value of €7.51. What's in the News OCI N.V. announced a USD 700 million distribution (USD 3.31 per share) for Q3 2025 via a mix of capital repayment and extraordinary cash dividend, pending mandatory creditor opposition period completion.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

€4.75

38.9% undervalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

2.10%

Chemicals revenue growth rate

0.58%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

5.97%

Calculation

US$31.99m

Earnings '28

x

43.31x

PE Ratio '28

=

US$1.39b

Market Cap '28

US$1.39b

Market Cap '28

/

210.97m

No. shares '28

=

US$6.57

Share Price '28

US$6.57 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 5.98% p.a.

=

US$5.52

Fair Value '25

US$5.52 Fair Value '25

Converted to EUR @ 0.8578 USD/EUR Exchange Rate

=

€4.74

Fair Value '25