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Published
27 Dec 25
Updated
06 Aug 26
Views
54
Not Invested
ArcelorMittalMT
MT logo
Fair Value
€50.05
Share price06 Aug
€63.2426.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
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1Y115.10%
7D-5.44%

Heavy Decarbonization Costs And Protectionism Will Pressure Steel Margins For Years

AN
AnalystLowTarget
AnalystLowTarget

Analyst Low Target compiles bearish analysts opinions to create narratives which represent one standard deviation below the consensus price target, using forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls.

Published
27 Dec 25
Updated
06 Aug 26
Views
54
Not Invested
Fair Value€50.05
Share price€63.24
26.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
Narrative
Updates2

Shared on 06 Aug 26

Fair value Increased 11%

MT: Buybacks And Cloud Push Will Likely Leave Shares Overextended

ArcelorMittal just posted a stronger quarter and says trade limits are helping demand in Europe, while it keeps buying back shares and ramps new projects. It’s also betting on Microsoft’s cloud and AI to modernize how it runs—but the mix of good news may already be stretching how optimistic investors are.
Read more
9 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Shared on 09 Jul 26

Fair value Increased 65%

MT: Share Buybacks And AWS Deal Will Likely Leave Shares Overextended

ArcelorMittal ramps up share buybacks and teams up with Amazon Web Services to bring more automation and data tools into its steel plants, while also lining up a long-term customer for its lower-carbon steel. At the same time, some signals suggest the stock may already be running hot, raising the question of how much good news is left to be priced in.
Read more
5 viewsusers have viewed this narrative update

Fair Value vs Share Price

€50.05
vs €63.2426.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
PastFuture-7b85b2015201820212024202620272029Revenue US$69.3bEarnings US$4.8b
3.3%
Revenue growth
6.9%
Profit margin

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

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Company analysis

Excellent balance sheet and good value.

Market cap€47.7b
PB1.0x
Estimated Growth5.4%
Dividend Yield0.8%
Full analysis

CEO & management

Aditya Mittal
CEO
5.6yrs
CEO Tenure

Operates as integrated steel and mining companies in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa.

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