Red Star Express Forecasts Positive Q2 Cash Flow Despite Capital Investments and Loan Repayments

Published
24 Jun 25
Updated
27 Jun 25
WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦5.39
122.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
27 Jun
₦12.00
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1Y
205.3%
7D
4.3%

Author's Valuation

₦5.4

122.6% overvalued intrinsic discount

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value

Red Star Express Plc projects a net cash inflow of ₦145.67 million for the second quarter of 2025 (July–September), signaling strong operational cash generation capacity even amid ongoing capital expenditure and debt servicing. The company expects to end the quarter with ₦726.71 million in cash and cash equivalents, up from ₦581.04 million at the start of the period.

Key Forecast Highlights:

  • Robust Operating Cash Flow:
    • Cash receipts from customers are estimated at ₦4.29 billion, while payments to suppliers and employees are projected at ₦3.66 billion.
    • After accounting for ₦195.15 million in tax payments, the company anticipates ₦439.73 million in net cash from operating activities—a clear sign of strong core business efficiency.
  • Continued Investment in Growth:
    • Red Star plans to invest ₦256.27 million in Q2, including:
      • ₦112.58 million in property, plant, and equipment (PPE),
      • ₦87.68 million for additions to Right of Use assets,
      • ₦56.01 million in intangible assets.
    • This reflects a strategy geared toward long-term operational capacity enhancement, likely in logistics infrastructure or technology platforms.
  • Disciplined Financing Activity:
    • Scheduled loan principal repayments of ₦34.30 million and interest payments of ₦3.50 million total ₦37.80 million, showing prudent debt management without overleveraging the balance sheet.
  • Cash Position Strengthens:
    • Despite investment outflows and financing costs, the company expects to generate a net cash increase of ₦145.67 million, ending Q2 with ₦726.71 million in cash.

Conclusion:

Red Star Express’s Q2 2025 cash flow forecast reflects solid operational performance and effective cash discipline, even as the company continues to reinvest in business assets and honor financial obligations. The projected rise in closing cash position—despite capital investments—reinforces management's ability to balance liquidity, growth, and financial stability. This positions the company well for sustained operations and future expansion in Nigeria’s competitive logistics and courier sector.

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The user WaneInvestmentHouse holds no position in NGSE:REDSTAREX. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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