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MTN H1/Q2 Result – Strong Recovery with Margin Expansion Amid Cost Headwinds

Published
26 Jan 25
Updated
07 Aug 25
WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦400.57
4.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
07 Aug
₦420.00
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1Y
119.9%
7D
-3.4%

Author's Valuation

₦400.57

4.9% overvalued intrinsic discount

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value

Shared on07 Aug 25

MTN Nigeria – Operational Turnaround with Data-Led Recovery and Margin Expansion Balance Sheet Revival: From Deep Negative Equity to Near Break-Even MTN Nigeria’s performance in Q2 2025 marks a remarkable financial turnaround, with negative equity shrinking from N458 billion in FY 2024 to just N42.51 billion as of mid-2025. This improvement suggests that MTN is on the cusp of restoring shareholder value and resuming dividend payouts — a welcome shift for investors following the 2023 dividend suspension.

Shared on05 Aug 25

MTN Nigeria: Subscriber Growth and Strategic CAPEX Drive a Strong H1 Recovery Investment Thesis MTN Nigeria delivered an impressive turnaround in H1 2025, reporting robust subscriber growth , significant service revenue expansion (+54.6%) , and a swing to profitability after last year’s losses. This performance reflects the resilience of its commercial strategy amid regulatory headwinds, aggressive capital investment, and strong execution across voice, data, and fintech services.

Shared on01 Aug 25
Fair value Increased 66%

Recent Valuation

Shared on31 Jul 25

WaneInvestmentHouse has decreased revenue growth from 34.2% to 25.5% and decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.0%.

Shared on30 Apr 25

WaneInvestmentHouse has increased revenue growth from 25.5% to 34.2%.

Shared on09 Apr 25

WaneInvestmentHouse made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on08 Apr 25

WaneInvestmentHouse made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on19 Mar 25
Fair value Decreased 3.56%

WaneInvestmentHouse made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on28 Feb 25
Fair value Decreased 3.85%

WaneInvestmentHouse made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.