Q2/H1 Result – Growth in Revenue, but Structural Challenges Persist (Revenue Momentum Not Yet Translating into Balance Sheet Strength)

WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Published
03 Mar 25
Updated
25 Jul 25
WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦3.50
2.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
25 Jul
₦3.58
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1Y
434.3%
7D
5.3%

Author's Valuation

₦3.5

2.3% overvalued intrinsic discount

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value

Last Update25 Jul 25
Fair value Increased 35%

WaneInvestmentHouse has decreased revenue growth from 10.9% to 0.0%, decreased profit margin from 2.9% to 2.5%, increased future PE multiple from 3.6x to 5.6x and decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.0%.

R.T. Briscoe Nigeria Plc showed improved top-line performance in H1 2025, with revenue rising by 62% year-on-year to ₦16.32 billion, driven by recovery in sales volume and market demand. Operating profit also increased modestly, but the company’s structural weaknesses and balance sheet fragility continue to weigh on its long-term viability.

Strengths:

  • Revenue Growth: 6M revenue grew from ₦10.07bn (2024) to ₦16.32bn (2025), a 62% YoY increase, indicating strong business momentum.
  • Improved Operating Profit: Operating profit stood at ₦1.29bn (up from ₦1.38bn in H1 2024), reflecting resilience despite rising costs.
  • Reduction in Loss Position: The net loss position continues to reduce, with retained losses narrowing slightly from ₦12.65bn to ₦12.32bn.
  • Cash Flow Improvement from Financing: Inflow of ₦1.8bn from LPO financing facility helped mitigate short-term liquidity pressure.

⚠️ Weaknesses / Risks:

  • Heavily Negative Net Equity: Total equity remains deeply negative at ₦8.15bn, indicating sustained balance sheet erosion.
  • Severe Liquidity Strain: Net cash from operating activities was ₦1.57bn negative, while cash and cash equivalents remain deeply in overdraft (₦12.56bn).
  • High Debt & Overdraft Burden: Bank overdrafts and borrowings are alarmingly high at ₦16bn, worsening financial flexibility.
  • Profitability Still Weak: Profit before tax for H1 2025 (₦413.9m) is 43% below the H1 2024 figure (₦727.2m), reflecting deteriorating margins despite increased sales.
  • Decline in Other Income: Non-core earnings (e.g., gain on PPE sale in 2024) are not repeatable, leading to weaker bottom-line support in 2025.

📈 Outlook & Recommendation:

While revenue growth and operating performance show signs of recovery, the company remains in a structurally distressed financial position. Until there is a clear strategy for deleveraging and recapitalization, upside potential remains speculative.

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Disclaimer

The user WaneInvestmentHouse holds no position in NGSE:RTBRISCOE. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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