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Fidson Healthcare Plc – H1 2025

Published
12 Feb 25
Updated
24 Sep 25
WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦35.00
22.9% overvalued intrinsic discount
24 Sep
₦43.00
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1Y
173.0%
7D
0%

Author's Valuation

₦35

22.9% overvalued intrinsic discount

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value

Last Update24 Sep 25
Fair value Increased 13%

Fidson Healthcare Plc — Expanded Partnership with Ohara Pharmaceutical

Event Summary

  • Fidson Healthcare Plc signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Japan’s Ohara Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd at TICAD9 in Tokyo.
  • The MoU builds on their 2019 strategic alliance, when Ohara acquired a 21.75% stake in Fidson via a Rights Issue.
  • The renewed partnership will:
    • Support Fidson’s planned capital raise, potentially boosting liquidity for expansion.
    • Provide technical expertise transfer, particularly in specialized medicines (e.g., pediatric oncology, APIs, and generics).
    • Strengthen Fidson’s local manufacturing capability, reducing Nigeria’s dependency on imported drugs.

Strategic Implications

1. Strengthened Capital Base

  • Ohara’s willingness to back Fidson’s capital raise signals confidence in the company’s long-term growth trajectory.
  • Access to additional equity/debt capital will help fund expansion into Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API) production and other value-adding projects.

2. Technology & Expertise Transfer

  • Ohara brings deep R&D capabilities in pediatric oncology and generics.
  • Knowledge transfer could elevate Fidson’s manufacturing standards closer to international benchmarks, improving competitiveness and potential for regional exports.

3. Localization & Import Substitution

  • Nigeria still imports 70–80% of its drugs, exposing the economy to FX pressures.
  • By boosting domestic capacity, Fidson positions itself as a critical player in Nigeria’s healthcare sovereignty strategy, aligning with government industrial policy.

4. Reputational Upside

  • Signing at TICAD9 gives the partnership global visibility and credibility.
  • It also signals Fidson’s ambition to be a regional pharmaceutical hub, not just a domestic player.

Financial Impact (Forward-Looking)

  • Revenue Growth: New product lines (specialized medicines, oncology drugs) could lift top-line growth beyond current mid-single digits.
  • Margins: Local API production may improve gross margins by reducing import costs, though initial capex could pressure near-term profitability.
  • Capital Raise: If Ohara participates, Fidson’s balance sheet strength will improve — enhancing solvency ratios and lowering reliance on debt financing.
  • Long-term Value Creation: The partnership could drive sustainable EPS growth by marrying revenue expansion with cost efficiencies.

Risks

  1. Execution Risk: Scaling up production and integrating Ohara’s tech successfully may take time.
  2. Regulatory Risk: Changes in Nigerian pharma regulation (pricing controls, tariffs, NAFDAC policies) could impact profitability.
  3. FX & Inflation: While import substitution helps, imported inputs (machinery, raw chemicals) still expose Fidson to naira volatility.
  4. Competition: Other local manufacturers may accelerate expansion with government backing, increasing pricing pressure.

Conclusion & Analyst View

Fidson Healthcare Plc’s expanded partnership with Ohara Pharmaceutical marks a transformational milestone. It combines capital support, cutting-edge expertise, and strategic positioning to reduce Nigeria’s drug import dependency and deepen local manufacturing.

Investment View:

  • Bullish (Medium to Long Term) — Fidson is positioning itself as a structural winner in Nigeria’s healthcare sector, with scope for improved margins, higher product diversification, and long-term EPS growth.
  • In the short term, investors should monitor execution risks around the capital raise and cost of scaling API production.

Fidson Healthcare Plc delivered a strong top-line performance in H1 2025, recording a 68% YoY increase in revenue from ₦37.3 billion to ₦62.6 billion. Despite facing macroeconomic challenges including rising finance costs and exchange rate volatility, the company grew its profit after tax by nearly 4x, reaching ₦6.02 billion (vs. ₦1.51 billion in H1 2024), showcasing significant operational leverage.

Strengths

  1. Revenue Growth: Revenue increased by 68% YoY, indicating robust demand for pharmaceutical products and improved market penetration.
  2. Gross Profit Margin Expansion: Gross profit grew by 70% YoY, from ₦15.1 billion to ₦25.7 billion, maintaining a healthy margin (41%), suggesting effective cost controls in raw materials and production.
  3. Improved Operating Profit: Operating profit almost tripled YoY to ₦12.16 billion from ₦4.39 billion, indicating improved scale and operational efficiency.
  4. Earnings Explosion: Net profit grew over 298% to ₦6.02 billion, largely driven by core business operations and disciplined expense management despite higher interest and FX costs.
  5. Asset Base Growth: Total assets increased to ₦86.1 billion from ₦73.5 billion in Dec 2024, reflecting capital investment in productive capacity and working capital expansion.
  6. Equity Strengthening: Retained earnings rose to ₦23.8 billion (up 34%)—a testament to the firm’s reinvestment of profits and value retention for shareholders.

⚠️ Weaknesses & Risks

  1. Rising Finance Costs: Finance cost rose by 50% to ₦3.2 billion in H1 2025, eroding some operating gains and signaling pressure from debt-financing.
  2. High FX Losses: Net exchange losses stood at ₦2.08 billion (though down from ₦4.39 billion in H1 2024), showing ongoing vulnerability to currency volatility and import exposure.
  3. Debt Load Increase: Total interest-bearing borrowings increased sharply to ₦25.8 billion (from ₦16.0 billion in Dec 2024), raising concerns about leverage and interest burden.
  4. Cash Drain: Cash and bank balances dropped drastically from ₦4.93 billion to ₦1.02 billion, while overdraft utilization increased significantly—indicating tight liquidity and high working capital intensity.
  5. Short-term Obligations Growing: Trade and other payables nearly doubled, and income tax liabilities increased, showing mounting short-term pressures.

🧠 Strategic Insight

Fidson is well-positioned to benefit from the growing healthcare demand in Nigeria, especially with increasing domestic production and import substitution trends. The company is capitalizing on scale, volume growth, and capacity investment, while facing rising debt service and FX risks.

💡 Recommendation: Buy with Caution

We recommend a "Buy with Caution" rating for long-term investors, based on:

  • Strong revenue growth and earnings trajectory.
  • Improving operating efficiency and margin protection.
  • However, rising debt levels and liquidity strain need close monitoring.

Watchpoints include: debt servicing capacity, FX exposure mitigation, and cash flow sustainability. A refinancing strategy or equity raise may help rebalance its capital structure.

📈 Conclusion

Fidson Healthcare Plc is delivering strong operational results amid macro challenges. Its H1 2025 performance confirms solid fundamentals and market resilience. Investors should maintain confidence in the firm’s medium- to long-term growth story, but be alert to liquidity and debt risks in the short run.

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Disclaimer

The user WaneInvestmentHouse holds no position in NGSE:FIDSON. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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