Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc H1/Q2 Result

WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Published
26 Jan 25
Updated
31 Jul 25
WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦6.50
7.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
31 Jul
₦6.97
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1Y
436.2%
7D
-1.8%

Author's Valuation

₦6.5

7.2% overvalued intrinsic discount

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value

Last Update31 Jul 25
Fair value Increased 12%

Recent Valuation

Caverton Offshore Support Group Plc (CAVERTON) has posted a marked turnaround in its H1 2025 results, returning to profitability after consecutive losses in H1 2024. Despite a strong top-line recovery and favorable foreign exchange gains, the company’s precarious balance sheet and persistent cost pressures warrant a cautious investment stance.

Strengths

  1. Return to Profitability
    • H1 2025 PAT of ₦2.08 billion, compared to a loss of ₦3.7 billion in H1 2024, indicates a significant rebound.
    • Quarterly Q2 2025 PAT was ₦753.3 million vs. a loss of ₦2.2 billion in Q2 2024.
  2. Improved Operational Efficiency
    • Operating profit rose significantly by 215% year-on-year to ₦9.01 billion in H1 2025.
    • Operating expenses dropped 55% YoY from ₦15.9 billion to ₦7.1 billion.
  3. Strong Foreign Exchange Gains
    • A net FX gain of ₦6.9 billion in H1 2025 helped offset finance costs and boosted the bottom line.
  4. Liquidity Improvements
    • Cash and bank balances increased 271% from ₦448 million to ₦1.66 billion.
    • Prepayments rose significantly, suggesting forward positioning on supplier contracts or services.

Weaknesses

  1. Heavily Leveraged Balance Sheet
    • Interest-bearing loans ballooned to ₦63.4 billion, up 15% from ₦54.7 billion in Dec 2024.
    • Net finance cost more than doubled YoY to ₦9.5 billion, exerting pressure on earnings sustainability.
  2. Negative Equity Position
    • The company remains technically insolvent with negative shareholders’ equity of ₦52.5 billion as of June 2025.
  3. Declining Asset Base
    • Property, plant, and equipment dropped 9.6% while Right-of-Use assets declined 36%, signaling possible asset disposals or aging infrastructure.
  4. High Administrative Expenses
    • Admin expenses grew marginally to ₦4.9 billion, eroding some of the gains from improved gross margin.
  5. Short-Term Obligation Pressure
    • A 24% rise in current loans and borrowings, along with a large working capital need, may strain future cash flow.

Outlook and Recommendation

Caverton’s financials reflect a business that is tactically managing volatility through cost control and foreign currency exposure. However, the long-term sustainability of profits without further FX tailwinds is questionable, especially with the company’s structurally weak equity position and high debt servicing obligations.

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Disclaimer

The user WaneInvestmentHouse holds no position in NGSE:CAVERTON. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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