Julius Berger Nigeria Plc H1/Q2 Result

WA
WaneInvestmentHouse
Community Contributor
Published
27 Jan 25
Updated
31 Jul 25
WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value
₦130.00
3.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
31 Jul
₦126.00
Loading
1Y
14.5%
7D
0%

Author's Valuation

₦130.0

3.1% undervalued intrinsic discount

WaneInvestmentHouse's Fair Value

Last Update31 Jul 25

WaneInvestmentHouse has decreased revenue growth from 36.8% to 25.4% and decreased shares outstanding growth rate from 0.1% to 0.0%.

Julius Berger Nigeria Plc continues to reinforce its position as a leading construction and infrastructure player in Nigeria, with solid top-line growth, margin resilience, and a robust balance sheet supported by prudent capital management and substantial revaluation gains. The company’s strong operational performance and growing asset base position it favorably to benefit from Nigeria’s increased public infrastructure spending and private sector construction demand.

Key Strengths

  1. Strong Revenue Growth
    • Revenue grew by 41% YoY to ₦343.4 billion in H1 2025 (vs ₦243.8 billion in H1 2024), driven by expanded project volume and improved contract execution pace.
    • Q2 revenue alone stood at ₦162.9 billion, up 22.6% QoQ.
  2. Resilient Profitability
    • Gross profit margin expanded to 17.5% in H1 2025 (from 15.9% in H1 2024), showing operational efficiency.
    • Operating profit grew by 149% YoY to ₦9.4 billion, reflecting better cost control, despite higher impairment charges.
  3. Exceptional Investment Income
    • Investment income surged 194% YoY to ₦6.6 billion in H1 2025, supporting net profitability despite increased finance costs.
    • This underlines the firm’s sound treasury management in a high-yield environment.
  4. Bottom-line Growth
    • Profit before tax rose 52% YoY to ₦13.2 billion, while PAT stood at ₦7.1 billion (up 64% YoY), with EPS at ₦4.34.
    • Total comprehensive income increased 40% YoY to ₦23.3 billion.
  5. Strengthened Equity Base
    • Total equity rose 13% YTD to ₦363.9 billion, primarily due to ₦183.5 billion in revaluation surplus, enhancing balance sheet strength and shareholder value.
  6. Healthy Liquidity
    • Cash and bank balances stood at ₦101.4 billion, providing a cushion against working capital stress and future project funding requirements.

Weaknesses and Risks

  1. High Impairment Charges
    • Impairment on receivables remained elevated at ₦2.9 billion, although down YoY. This poses a risk to future cash flow stability if collections falter.
  2. Rising Administrative Expenses
    • Admin costs grew 36% YoY to ₦43.8 billion, driven by inflation and overhead pressure. While manageable, they could compress margins in less favorable quarters.
  3. Tax Burden
    • Effective tax rate remains high (46% of PBT), reducing net returns to shareholders and requiring more efficient tax planning.
  4. Contract Concentration and Working Capital Demands
    • Heavy exposure to government contracts implies cyclicality risk and susceptibility to payment delays, although mitigated by contract assets and receivables management.

Valuation and Outlook

  • Earnings Momentum: Julius Berger’s annualized EPS of ₦8.68 and ROE of ~8.6% (based on H1 earnings and equity base) suggest continued upward momentum.
  • Balance Sheet: With zero borrowings and strong liquidity, the firm is well-positioned for expansion without leverage-related stress.
  • Macro Tailwinds: Ongoing government infrastructure drives and favorable FX policies (if sustained) could unlock more growth.

Conclusion

Julius Berger’s compelling growth story is underpinned by top-line resilience, robust profitability, strong liquidity, and a growing equity base. Despite inflationary cost pressures and receivables risk, the company’s core fundamentals and sector position make it a long-term value play in Nigeria’s infrastructure renaissance.

How well do narratives help inform your perspective?

Disclaimer

The user WaneInvestmentHouse holds no position in NGSE:JBERGER. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

Read more narratives