Improved Earnings Guidance And Efficiency Will Drive Future Revenue Stability

AN

AnalystConsensusTarget

AnalystConsensusTarget

Not Invested

Based on Analyst Price Targets

Published

24 Nov 24

Updated

09 Dec 25

Views

28

n/a

n/a

AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value

n/a

1Y

34.6%

7D

0.3%

Loading

1Y

34.6%

7D

0.3%

You can edit this narrative until Dec 10 9:10 AM. Then, changes will post as Updates.

Author's Valuation

JP¥1.03k6.5% overvalued

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

Shared on 09 Dec 25

Fair value Increased 5.46%

5020: Dividend Payouts Will Rise As Margins Hold Despite Weaker Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on ENEOS Holdings from ¥977 to ¥1,030, reflecting slightly improved long term revenue and margin expectations, as well as a modestly lower perceived risk profile. What's in the News ENEOS raised its interim dividend for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 to JPY 17 per share from JPY 13 a year earlier, with payments scheduled to begin on December 5, 2025 and a record date of September 30, 2025 (company announcement).

Shared on 25 Nov 25

Fair value Decreased 0.49%

5020: Dividend Increases And Margin Improvements Expected Despite Earnings Headwinds

ENEOS Holdings has seen its analyst price target adjusted slightly downward from ¥981.43 to ¥976.67. Analysts cite improved profit margins and revenue forecasts, although these are largely offset by a modestly higher expected future P/E ratio.

Shared on 07 Nov 25

5020: Revenue And Profit Margins Expected To Remain Stable Amid Lower Risk

Analysts have maintained their price target for ENEOS Holdings at ¥981.43, citing stable expectations for revenue growth and profit margins. They also note a modest reduction in the applied discount rate to reflect improved market outlook.

Shared on 24 Oct 25

Fair value Increased 2.54%

Analysts have raised their price target for ENEOS Holdings from ¥957.14 to ¥981.43, citing updated valuation models and slight improvements in the company's fair value estimates. What's in the News ENEOS Holdings provided consolidated earnings guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, forecasting revenue of JPY 11,700,000 million.

Shared on 26 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 1.98%

ENEOS Holdings' fair value estimate has been revised slightly higher, as analysts now forecast a less negative revenue growth trajectory, improving from –2.2% to –1.9% per annum, resulting in an increased price target from ¥939 to ¥957. What's in the News ENEOS Holdings issued consolidated earnings guidance for FY ending March 31, 2026, expecting revenue of JPY 11,700,000 million.

Shared on 11 Sep 25

Fair value Increased 3.14%

The modest increase in ENEOS Holdings’ future P/E and discount rate suggests a slightly more optimistic outlook despite higher risk, supporting a raised consensus price target from ¥910 to ¥939. What's in the News Issued consolidated earnings guidance for FY ending March 31, 2026: revenue expected at JPY 11,700,000 million.

Shared on 27 Aug 25

Fair value Increased 2.58%

The upward revision in ENEOS Holdings’ price target reflects improved consensus revenue growth forecasts, with fair value rising modestly from ¥887 to ¥910. What's in the News ENEOS Holdings issued guidance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, with projected revenue of JPY 11,700,000 million.

Shared on 01 May 25

Fair value Increased 3.00%

Shared on 23 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.02%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -0.3% to -1.1%.

Shared on 17 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 2.75%

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 09 Apr 25

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased discount rate from 9.6% to 8.6%.

Shared on 02 Apr 25

Fair value Decreased 6.21%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -0.0% to -0.3%.

Shared on 26 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget made no meaningful changes to valuation assumptions.

Shared on 19 Mar 25

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -0.2% to -0.0%.

Shared on 12 Mar 25

Fair value Increased 8.63%

AnalystConsensusTarget has decreased revenue growth from -0.3% to -0.2%.

AnalystConsensusTarget Fair Value

JP¥1.03k

6.5% overvalued

Future estimation in

Growth p.a.

Growth p.a.

%

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

0.01%

Oil and Gas revenue growth rate

0.92%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

%

0

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

5.36%

Calculation

JP¥285.86b

Earnings '28

x

10.76x

PE Ratio '28

=

JP¥3.08t

Market Cap '28

JP¥3.08t

Market Cap '28

/

2.55b

No. shares '28

=

JP¥1.21k

Share Price '28

JP¥1.21k Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 5.40% p.a.

=

JP¥1.03k

Fair Value '25