Weak Domestic Trends And Rising Costs Will Hamper Long-Term Prospects

AnalystLowTarget

Not Invested

Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts

Published

17 Jun 25

Updated

16 Aug 25

AnalystLowTarget's Fair Value

HK$12.13

7.1% overvalued

16 Aug

HK$12.99

37.9%

-2.6%

Author's Valuation

HK$12.1

7.1% overvalued

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

Narrative

Updates0

AnalystLowTarget Fair Value

HK$12.1

7.1% overvalued

Future estimation in

% p.a.

Decrease

Increase

Current revenue growth rate

9.16%

Logistics revenue growth rate

0.22%

Risk Level (Discount Rate)

Our default considers factors like the company's size, volatility, profitablity and country of operation.

Decrease

Increase

Current discount rate

8.19%

Calculation

CN¥8.11b

Earnings '28

10.16x

PE Ratio '28

CN¥82.42b

Market Cap '28

CN¥82.42b

Market Cap '28

5.85b

No. shares '28

CN¥14.08

Share Price '28

CN¥14.08 Share Price '28

Discounted to 2025 @ 8.16% p.a.

CN¥11.13

Fair Value '25

CN¥11.13 Fair Value '25

Converted to HKD @ 1.0899 CNY/HKD Exchange Rate

HK$12.13

Fair Value '25