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Taylor Wimpey

Million-Home Hope for Taylor Wimpey?

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13111yNot Invested
Community Contributor
Published
March 17 2025
Updated
March 17 2025
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13111y's Fair Value
UK£1.05
7.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
17 Mar
UK£1.13
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1Y
-19.9%
7D
-0.1%

Author's Valuation

UK£1.1

7.3% overvalued intrinsic discount

13111y's Fair Value

The UK government's 1.5 million homes pledge could be a tailwind for Taylor Wimpey, boosting its workload and potentially its stock price, provided it navigates cost pressures and the government delivers on planning reforms. The government’s "golden rules" mandate that greenbelt developments include 50% affordable housing, alongside infrastructure like schools and GP surgeries. Taylor Wimpey has experience delivering mixed-tenure schemes (e.g., private sale, affordable rent, shared ownership), which aligns with this policy. While affordable housing typically offers lower margins, the sheer volume of mandated construction could boost overall revenue. Only a third of councils currently have up-to-date local plans, and planning permissions hit a decade-low under the prior system. Reforms aim to fix this, potentially accelerating Taylor Wimpey’s project timelines.

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Disclaimer

The user 13111y holds no position in LSE:TW.. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

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UK£1.47
FV
23.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
7.69%
Revenue growth p.a.
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