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Austal Community
ASX:ASB Community
3
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Austal
AN
AnalystLowTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Execution Risks And Regulatory Pressures Will Curtail US Defense Contracts
Key Takeaways Expansion into complex manufacturing and green vessels increases execution, compliance, and cost overrun risks, threatening margins and project delivery timelines. Heavy dependence on defense contracts and legacy ship programs exposes the company to concentration risk, revenue instability, and the risk of portfolio obsolescence.
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AU$5.18
FV
25.3% overvalued
intrinsic discount
17.04%
Revenue growth p.a.
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4 days ago
author updated this narrative
Austal
AN
AnalystHighTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Rising US And Indo-Pacific Defense Spending Will Spur Fleet Renewal
Key Takeaways New US defense programs and submarine partnerships could drive much higher revenue and transformative margin growth than currently anticipated by the market. Focus on advanced green ship technologies and expanding support services positions Austal for long-term, recurring, and higher-margin global defense opportunities.
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AU$7.05
FV
7.9% undervalued
intrinsic discount
17.03%
Revenue growth p.a.
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0
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5 days ago
author updated this narrative
Austal
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
Shipbuilding Agreement In Australia Will Open $20 Billion Opportunities
Key Takeaways Austal's strategic shift to new U.S. programs and facilities promises robust future revenue and strong cash flow. Strategic shipbuilding agreements and expansion in Australasia are poised for significant long-term growth and improved financial stability.
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AU$6.08
FV
6.7% overvalued
intrinsic discount
15.31%
Revenue growth p.a.
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13 days ago
author updated this narrative
Your Valuation for
ASB
ASB
Austal
Your Fair Value
AU$
Current Price
AU$6.49
18.4% undervalued
intrinsic discount
Growth estimate over
Annual revenue growth rate
5 Years
time period
%/yr
Decrease
Increase
Past
Future
-92m
3b
2015
2018
2021
2024
2025
2027
2030
Revenue AU$2.8b
Earnings AU$48.9m
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