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China Mengniu Dairy Company LimitedSEHK:2319 Stock Report

Market Cap HK$63.1b
Share Price
HK$15.80
HK$22.29
29.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y-6.0%
7D-4.5%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited

SEHK:2319 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$63.1b

China Mengniu Dairy (2319) Stock Overview

An investment holding company, manufactures and distributes dairy products under the MENGNIU brand in the People’s Republic of China, the Chinese Mainland and internationally. More details

2319 fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance4/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends3/6

2319 Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 12 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for China Mengniu Dairy
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceHK$15.80
52 Week HighHK$18.07
52 Week LowHK$13.88
Beta0.27
1 Month Change-8.88%
3 Month Change-3.07%
1 Year Change-5.95%
3 Year Change-47.68%
5 Year Change-66.74%
Change since IPO548.21%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 15

2319: Dividend And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target for China Mengniu Dairy slightly, from about HK$22.42 to around HK$22.29. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Jun 01

2319: Index Removal And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on China Mengniu Dairy slightly higher to HK$22.42 from HK$22.06, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News China Mengniu Dairy announced preliminary 2025 guidance, expecting total revenue for the year to decline by about 7% to 8% year on year.
Narrative Update Apr 25

2319: Index Removal And Dividend Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for China Mengniu Dairy slightly higher to HK$22.06 from HK$22.02, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels while keeping the discount rate unchanged. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 25, 2026 to consider approval of the 2025 annual results and the potential recommendation of a final dividend (company announcement).

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 15

2319: Dividend And Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target for China Mengniu Dairy slightly, from about HK$22.42 to around HK$22.29. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Jun 01

2319: Index Removal And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on China Mengniu Dairy slightly higher to HK$22.42 from HK$22.06, citing updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News China Mengniu Dairy announced preliminary 2025 guidance, expecting total revenue for the year to decline by about 7% to 8% year on year.
Narrative Update Apr 25

2319: Index Removal And Dividend Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for China Mengniu Dairy slightly higher to HK$22.06 from HK$22.02, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels while keeping the discount rate unchanged. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 25, 2026 to consider approval of the 2025 annual results and the potential recommendation of a final dividend (company announcement).
Narrative Update Apr 10

2319: Index Removal And Higher Margin Outlook Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on China Mengniu Dairy to HK$22.02 from HK$21.03. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiple.
Analysis Article Mar 29

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (HKG:2319) Annual Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Investors in China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited ( HKG:2319 ) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.0% to close at...
Narrative Update Mar 27

2319: Index Removal And Margin Stability Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for China Mengniu Dairy slightly lower to around HK$21.03 from about HK$21.17, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for Mar 25, 2026 to approve the 2025 annual results and consider a final dividend, if applicable (company announcement).
Narrative Update Mar 12

2319: Index Removal And Dividend Prospects Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their 12 month price target for China Mengniu Dairy slightly lower from about HK$21.31 to around HK$21.17, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and the forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 25, 2026 to approve the announcement of annual results for the year ended December 31, 2025 and to consider a final dividend, if applicable (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Dec 10

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited's (HKG:2319) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.7x in the Food industry in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven...
Analysis Article Nov 18

Returns Are Gaining Momentum At China Mengniu Dairy (HKG:2319)

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...
Narrative Update Oct 20

Rapid Urbanization And Diversification Will Fuel Dairy Revival

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for China Mengniu Dairy from ¥21.50 to ¥21.31, citing modestly reduced expectations for revenue growth and future price-to-earnings ratios. What's in the News The company completed a repurchase of 14,202,000 shares for HKD 245.63 million between January and August 2025 as part of its ongoing buyback program (company announcement).
Analysis Article Sep 22

We Think China Mengniu Dairy (HKG:2319) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrative Update Sep 16

Rapid Urbanization And Diversification Will Fuel Dairy Revival

China Mengniu Dairy's slightly higher forward P/E ratio accompanied by a marginal downgrade in revenue growth expectations suggests modestly weaker growth prospects, resulting in a minor decrease in the consensus analyst price target from HK$21.89 to HK$21.50. What's in the News Completed repurchase of 2,850,000 shares (0.07% of share capital) for HKD 46.32 million as part of an ongoing buyback program.
Analysis Article Aug 29

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (HKG:2319) Analysts Are Cutting Their Estimates: Here's What You Need To Know

Last week, you might have seen that China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited ( HKG:2319 ) released its half-year result to...
Narrative Update Aug 29

Expanding Into Southeast Asia With Aice Will Strengthen Dairy Operations

Despite an upward revision in revenue growth forecasts and a higher expected future P/E, the consensus analyst price target for China Mengniu Dairy has been lowered from HK$23.85 to HK$22.96. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled to approve interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2025, and consider an interim dividend.
Analysis Article Aug 07

Pinning Down China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited's (HKG:2319) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

SEHK:2319 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore China Mengniu Dairy's Fair Values from the Community and select...
User avatar
New Narrative Feb 09

Expanding Into Southeast Asia With Aice Will Strengthen Dairy Operations

Digitization and fine management aim to optimize dairy supply-demand, boosting operational efficiency and future net margins.

Shareholder Returns

2319HK FoodHK Market
7D-4.5%0.8%0.2%
1Y-6.0%-11.6%4.5%

Return vs Industry: 2319 exceeded the Hong Kong Food industry which returned -11.6% over the past year.

Return vs Market: 2319 underperformed the Hong Kong Market which returned 4.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is 2319's price volatile compared to industry and market?
2319 volatility
2319 Average Weekly Movement4.2%
Food Industry Average Movement5.9%
Market Average Movement7.5%
10% most volatile stocks in HK Market16.0%
10% least volatile stocks in HK Market3.5%

Stable Share Price: 2319 has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Hong Kong market.

Volatility Over Time: 2319's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
199938,301Fei Gaowww.mengniuir.com

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and distributes dairy products under the MENGNIU brand in the People’s Republic of China, the Chinese Mainland and internationally. It operates in five segments: Liquid Milk Business, Ice Cream Business, Milk Formula Business, Cheese Business, and Others. The Liquid Milk Business segment offers ultra-high temperature milk, milk beverages, yogurt, and fresh milk.

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do China Mengniu Dairy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
2319 fundamental statistics
Market capHK$63.14b
Earnings (TTM)HK$1.79b
Revenue (TTM)HK$95.36b
34.2x
P/E Ratio
0.6x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
2319 income statement (TTM)
RevenueCN¥82.24b
Cost of RevenueCN¥49.91b
Gross ProfitCN¥32.34b
Other ExpensesCN¥30.79b
EarningsCN¥1.55b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)0.40
Gross Margin39.32%
Net Profit Margin1.88%
Debt/Equity Ratio52.3%

How did 2319 perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.8%
Current Dividend Yield
131%
Payout Ratio

Does 2319 pay a reliable dividends?

See 2319 dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy 2319 by to receive an upcoming dividend?
China Mengniu Dairy dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateJun 09 2026
Dividend Pay DateJun 24 2026
Days until Ex dividend9 days
Days until Dividend pay date6 days

Does 2319 pay a reliable dividends?

See 2319 dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/17 09:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/17 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited is covered by 50 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Vineet Kulbandu SharmaBarclays
Jean ChanBernstein
Mark YuanBNP Paribas