Stock Analysis

Here's Why Vodacom Group (JSE:VOD) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

JSE:VOD
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Vodacom Group Limited (JSE:VOD) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Vodacom Group

What Is Vodacom Group's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Vodacom Group had R37.8b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has R21.8b in cash leading to net debt of about R16.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
JSE:VOD Debt to Equity History January 5th 2021

How Strong Is Vodacom Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Vodacom Group had liabilities of R39.8b due within 12 months, and liabilities of R45.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had R21.8b in cash and R22.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R40.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Vodacom Group has a titanic market capitalization of R211.1b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Vodacom Group's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.47 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.5 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. The good news is that Vodacom Group has increased its EBIT by 4.2% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Vodacom Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Vodacom Group recorded free cash flow worth 72% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Vodacom Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Vodacom Group takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - Vodacom Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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