Is York Timber Holdings (JSE:YRK) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, York Timber Holdings Limited (JSE:YRK) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is York Timber Holdings's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2024 York Timber Holdings had debt of R534.7m, up from R388.3m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of R63.4m, its net debt is less, at about R471.3m.
How Healthy Is York Timber Holdings' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, York Timber Holdings had liabilities of R493.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of R1.26b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of R63.4m as well as receivables valued at R271.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R1.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R839.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, York Timber Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
View our latest analysis for York Timber Holdings
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While we wouldn't worry about York Timber Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.1, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.92 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. One redeeming factor for York Timber Holdings is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of R52m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since York Timber Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot .
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, York Timber Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both York Timber Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like York Timber Holdings has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with York Timber Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About JSE:YRK
York Timber Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the forestry, sawmilling, plywood, wholesale, and farming businesses in South Africa and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet low.
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