What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating PG&E (NYSE:PCG), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on PG&E is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.031 = US$3.2b ÷ (US$119b - US$16b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, PG&E has an ROCE of 3.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Electric Utilities industry average of 4.7%.
See our latest analysis for PG&E
In the above chart we have measured PG&E's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for PG&E.
SWOT Analysis for PG&E
- No major strengths identified for PCG.
- Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.
What Does the ROCE Trend For PG&E Tell Us?
In terms of PG&E's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.1% from 4.9% five years ago. However it looks like PG&E might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
The Bottom Line On PG&E's ROCE
To conclude, we've found that PG&E is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 63% in the last five years. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for PG&E (of which 1 can't be ignored!) that you should know about.
While PG&E isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:PCG
PG&E
Through its subsidiary, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, engages in the sale and delivery of electricity and natural gas to customers in northern and central California, the United States.
Fair value with acceptable track record.