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OGE Energy Corp.'s (NYSE:OGE) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
There wouldn't be many who think OGE Energy Corp.'s (NYSE:OGE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 19x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
OGE Energy's earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this modest earnings performance will continue. If this is the case, then at least existing shareholders won't be losing sleep over the current share price.
See our latest analysis for OGE Energy
How Is OGE Energy's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like OGE Energy's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.7% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 40% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.5% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that OGE Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of OGE Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for OGE Energy (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than OGE Energy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:OGE
OGE Energy
Operates as an energy services provider in the United States.