Sunnova Energy International Valuation
Is NOVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of NOVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NOVA's fair value for valuation analysis.
Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate NOVA's fair value for valuation analysis.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NOVA?
Key metric: As NOVA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is NOVA's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.7x |
| Sales | US$809.98m |
| Market Cap | US$528.55m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 11.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 317.1x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does NOVA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 3.1x | ||
AMPS Altus Power | 3.4x | 17.5% | US$619.2m |
MNTK Montauk Renewables | 2.9x | 16.3% | US$576.3m |
ELLO Ellomay Capital | 4.7x | n/a | US$192.9m |
NEP NextEra Energy Partners | 1.3x | 5.4% | US$1.5b |
NOVA Sunnova Energy International | 0.7x | 17.7% | US$528.5m |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NOVA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (3.2x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does NOVA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Renewable Energy Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NOVA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the North American Renewable Energy industry average (2.2x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is NOVA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.7x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 2.5x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NOVA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$4.37 | US$11.08 +153.5% | 31.4% | US$17.00 | US$3.50 | n/a | 23 |
| Nov ’25 | US$5.73 | US$11.84 +106.6% | 25.3% | US$18.00 | US$6.25 | n/a | 23 |
| Oct ’25 | US$9.10 | US$12.71 +39.7% | 28.2% | US$20.00 | US$6.00 | n/a | 24 |
| Sep ’25 | US$11.11 | US$12.40 +11.6% | 27.7% | US$20.00 | US$6.00 | n/a | 25 |
| Aug ’25 | US$8.30 | US$11.24 +35.4% | 33.9% | US$20.00 | US$4.00 | n/a | 25 |
| Jul ’25 | US$5.23 | US$10.72 +105.0% | 40.6% | US$20.00 | US$4.00 | n/a | 25 |
| Jun ’25 | US$5.22 | US$11.04 +111.5% | 39.7% | US$20.00 | US$4.00 | n/a | 26 |
| May ’25 | US$3.53 | US$14.09 +299.1% | 36.7% | US$26.00 | US$6.00 | n/a | 26 |
| Apr ’25 | US$5.67 | US$17.70 +212.1% | 33.8% | US$35.00 | US$8.00 | n/a | 28 |
| Mar ’25 | US$7.24 | US$19.02 +162.7% | 31.2% | US$35.00 | US$9.00 | n/a | 26 |
| Feb ’25 | US$10.80 | US$20.64 +91.1% | 27.6% | US$35.00 | US$13.00 | n/a | 25 |
| Jan ’25 | US$15.25 | US$19.93 +30.7% | 29.7% | US$35.00 | US$10.00 | n/a | 27 |
| Dec ’24 | US$12.58 | US$20.07 +59.6% | 45.7% | US$58.00 | US$10.00 | n/a | 27 |
| Nov ’24 | US$9.01 | US$20.08 +122.8% | 46.5% | US$58.00 | US$10.00 | US$5.73 | 26 |
| Oct ’24 | US$10.47 | US$29.63 +183.0% | 30.9% | US$58.00 | US$14.00 | US$9.10 | 24 |
| Sep ’24 | US$14.03 | US$30.63 +118.3% | 28.4% | US$58.00 | US$18.00 | US$11.11 | 24 |
| Aug ’24 | US$17.73 | US$32.42 +82.8% | 33.3% | US$63.00 | US$19.00 | US$8.30 | 24 |
| Jul ’24 | US$18.31 | US$33.75 +84.3% | 30.0% | US$63.00 | US$19.00 | US$5.23 | 24 |
| Jun ’24 | US$18.16 | US$33.54 +84.7% | 29.8% | US$63.00 | US$19.00 | US$5.22 | 24 |
| May ’24 | US$17.23 | US$34.32 +99.2% | 28.8% | US$63.00 | US$19.00 | US$3.53 | 25 |
| Apr ’24 | US$15.62 | US$34.96 +123.8% | 28.7% | US$60.00 | US$17.00 | US$5.67 | 23 |
| Mar ’24 | US$17.60 | US$35.57 +102.1% | 27.0% | US$60.00 | US$23.00 | US$7.24 | 23 |
| Feb ’24 | US$20.08 | US$36.18 +80.2% | 22.4% | US$51.00 | US$23.00 | US$10.80 | 22 |
| Jan ’24 | US$18.01 | US$37.00 +105.4% | 21.4% | US$51.00 | US$25.00 | US$15.25 | 23 |
| Dec ’23 | US$21.97 | US$37.41 +70.3% | 20.7% | US$51.00 | US$25.00 | US$12.58 | 22 |
| Nov ’23 | US$18.70 | US$36.25 +93.9% | 23.8% | US$51.00 | US$21.00 | US$9.01 | 20 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Portland General Electric
US$4.9b
An integrated electric utility company, engages in the generation, wholesale purchase, transmission, distribution, and retail sale of electricity in the state of Oregon.
POR
US$46.88
7D
1.2%
1Y
13.8%
Engie Brasil Energia
R$32.0b
Generates, sells, and trades in electrical energy in Brazil.
EGIE.Y
R$6.70
7D
0.8%
1Y
-24.5%
Evergy
US$14.7b
Engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity in the United States.
EVRG
US$64.37
7D
1.6%
1Y
26.6%