Stock Analysis

We Think Otter Tail (NASDAQ:OTTR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Published
NasdaqGS:OTTR

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ:OTTR) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Otter Tail

What Is Otter Tail's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Otter Tail had US$956.4m of debt, an increase on US$874.1m, over one year. However, it does have US$230.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$725.7m.

NasdaqGS:OTTR Debt to Equity History October 8th 2024

How Healthy Is Otter Tail's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Otter Tail had liabilities of US$271.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.62b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$230.7m in cash and US$191.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.47b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Otter Tail has a market capitalization of US$3.25b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Otter Tail's net debt is only 1.4 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.6 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Otter Tail grew its EBIT by 12% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Otter Tail's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Otter Tail's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On our analysis Otter Tail's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. It's also worth noting that Otter Tail is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Otter Tail is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Otter Tail (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.