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Updated 1d ago
SPCX logo

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.NasdaqGS:SPCX Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.1t
Updated 1d ago
Share Price
n/a
1Yn/a
7D0.1%
1D-2.0%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

NasdaqGS:SPCX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1t

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) Stock Overview

Provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. More details

SPCX fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation0/6
Future Growth6/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Earnings are forecast to grow 56.56% per year

Revenue grew by 41.2% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Has less than 1 year of cash runway

Volatile share price over the past 3 months compared to the US market


SPCX Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 656 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
33.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•12d ago

AI Compute And Global Connectivity Expansion Will Reshape This Space Infrastructure Leader

366
0
121
AN
AnalystHighTarget
60.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•27d ago

Massive Starship Scale Up And AI Infrastructure Will Transform Long Term Earnings Power

75
0
6
AN
AnalystLowTarget
26.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•13d ago

Massive AI Compute Spend And Unproven Launch Cadence Will Likely Constrain Future Returns

17
0
2

Top Community Narratives

BR
32.1k% overvalued intrinsic discount
browser
•2mo ago

SpaceX: A Sober Look at Catalysts, Risks, and Long‑Term Value After the IPO

847
1
91
QU
QuanD
9.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
QuanD
•18d ago

Making sense of 1.75 trillion IPO

1.1k
1
56
WO
woodworthfund
196.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
woodworthfund
•2mo ago

WHY YOU SHOULD NOT BUY THE SPACEX IPO

725
0
32

Top Community Narratives

Top Analyst Narratives

BR
32.1k% overvalued intrinsic discount
browser
•2mo ago

SpaceX: A Sober Look at Catalysts, Risks, and Long‑Term Value After the IPO

847
1
91
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
33.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•12d ago

AI Compute And Global Connectivity Expansion Will Reshape This Space Infrastructure Leader

366
0
121
QU
QuanD
9.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
QuanD
•18d ago

Making sense of 1.75 trillion IPO

1.1k
1
56
AN
AnalystHighTarget
60.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•27d ago

Massive Starship Scale Up And AI Infrastructure Will Transform Long Term Earnings Power

75
0
6
WO
woodworthfund
196.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
woodworthfund
•2mo ago

WHY YOU SHOULD NOT BUY THE SPACEX IPO

725
0
32
AN
AnalystLowTarget
26.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•13d ago

Massive AI Compute Spend And Unproven Launch Cadence Will Likely Constrain Future Returns

17
0
2
View all narratives

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Competitors

AST SpaceMobile

Symbol: NasdaqGS:ASTS
Market cap: US$23.3b

Globalstar

Symbol: NasdaqGS:GSAT
Market cap: US$10.7b

Verizon Communications

Symbol: NYSE:VZ
Market cap: US$210.3b

Iridium Communications

Symbol: NasdaqGS:IRDM
Market cap: US$5.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Space Exploration Technologies
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$148.15
52 Week HighUS$225.64
52 Week LowUS$104.83
Beta0
1 Month Change5.82%
3 Month Change-26.59%
1 Year Changen/a
3 Year Changen/a
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-7.95%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 13

SpaceX: Taking Flight And Defying Lock-Ups Ahead Of Q4, Communacopia Takeaways

Summary SpaceX is reiterated as a buy, with shares resilient despite volatility and ongoing lock-up expirations. Q2 results showed revenue up 90% to $7.8B and a reduced net loss, with aggressive AI expansion and strong Starlink subscriber growth. Management targets $100B run-rate revenue by December 2026, with AI as the primary growth engine and major new cloud deals secured. Valuation remains assumption-heavy, but technicals lean bullish; a breakout above $155 could target $170-$175, with support near the IPO price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

SPCX: Vertically Integrated AI And Orbital Infrastructure Will Sustain Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts now see Space Exploration Technologies' fair value edging up from $213.50 to about $222.32, reflecting higher assumed profit margins and a richer future P/E multiple tied to confidence in its vertically integrated AI and orbital infrastructure plans, even as revenue growth expectations are slightly tempered. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Space Exploration Technologies shows a wide spread of views on how sustainable the company’s current trajectory is and what that means for valuation, growth and execution risk.
User avatar
New Narrative • Sep 02

Massive AI Compute Spend And Unproven Launch Cadence Will Likely Constrain Future Returns

Catalysts About Space Exploration Technologies Space Exploration Technologies develops and operates launch vehicles, satellite internet networks and AI compute infrastructure across its Space, Connectivity and AI segments. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 13

SpaceX: Taking Flight And Defying Lock-Ups Ahead Of Q4, Communacopia Takeaways

Summary SpaceX is reiterated as a buy, with shares resilient despite volatility and ongoing lock-up expirations. Q2 results showed revenue up 90% to $7.8B and a reduced net loss, with aggressive AI expansion and strong Starlink subscriber growth. Management targets $100B run-rate revenue by December 2026, with AI as the primary growth engine and major new cloud deals secured. Valuation remains assumption-heavy, but technicals lean bullish; a breakout above $155 could target $170-$175, with support near the IPO price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 03

SPCX: Vertically Integrated AI And Orbital Infrastructure Will Sustain Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts now see Space Exploration Technologies' fair value edging up from $213.50 to about $222.32, reflecting higher assumed profit margins and a richer future P/E multiple tied to confidence in its vertically integrated AI and orbital infrastructure plans, even as revenue growth expectations are slightly tempered. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Space Exploration Technologies shows a wide spread of views on how sustainable the company’s current trajectory is and what that means for valuation, growth and execution risk.
User avatar
New Narrative • Sep 02

Massive AI Compute Spend And Unproven Launch Cadence Will Likely Constrain Future Returns

Catalysts About Space Exploration Technologies Space Exploration Technologies develops and operates launch vehicles, satellite internet networks and AI compute infrastructure across its Space, Connectivity and AI segments. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 28

SpaceX’s path to $300B may be on Earth

SpaceX’s first earnings call materially changed how I think about the company. The biggest surprise was AI infrastructure.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Aug 19

SPCX: AI And Tokenization Optionality Will Sustain Long-Term Upside Potential

Analysts trimmed the Space Exploration Technologies fair value estimate to $213.50 from $223.00, as a slightly higher discount rate and lower projected profit margins outweighed stronger modeled revenue growth and a higher future P/E tied to ongoing enthusiasm for AI and tokenization driven demand, Starlink expansion, and Starship related optionality. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Space Exploration Technologies shows a wide spread of views on how sustainable the current valuation is and how much credit to give the company for AI, Starlink and Starship related optionality.
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 19

Massive Starship Scale Up And AI Infrastructure Will Transform Long Term Earnings Power

Catalysts About Space Exploration Technologies Space Exploration Technologies develops and operates reusable launch vehicles, global satellite connectivity through Starlink and large scale AI compute infrastructure. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Aug 05

AI Compute And Global Connectivity Expansion Will Reshape This Space Infrastructure Leader

Catalysts About Space Exploration Technologies Space Exploration Technologies develops launch vehicles, broadband satellite networks and AI compute infrastructure that support commercial, government and consumer customers worldwide. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
User avatar
New Narrative • Jul 02

WHY YOU SHOULD NOT BUY THE SPACEX IPO

Originally posted on June 5th 2026 on the Woodworth Contrarian Fund News Page: https://www.woodworth.fund/news/why-you-should-not-buy-the-spacex-ipo Brought to you by The Millegans & The Woodworth Contrarian Fund Sisyphus of Wall Street & The Weight of Hype: Why chasing marquee allocations is a rigged game—and what contrarians do instead. Overview: Biggest IPO ever… for whom?
User avatar
New Narrative • Jun 22

SpaceX: A Sober Look at Catalysts, Risks, and Long‑Term Value After the IPO

SpaceX’s IPO has generated huge excitement, but when you strip away the headlines and ecosystem hype, the fundamentals still look like a capital‑intensive industrial business with uncertain long‑term margins. Using a disciplined valuation approach — including a 30% discount rate to reflect the lack of current profitability — the fair value estimate comes out to US$0.87 per share in 2026.
Analysis Article • Jun 17

SpaceX (SPCX) Stock Could Be 49.5% Overvalued After IPO And AI Push

SpaceX stock reaction to index additions and AI push Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX) has moved rapidly from its record US$75b IPO into key benchmarks, with fresh inclusion in the NASDAQ Telecom Index spotlighting its mix of satellite connectivity, launch services, and AI infrastructure. For you as an investor, that index entry matters because it can pull in rule based buying from funds that track the benchmark. At the same time, the company’s US$60b Cursor acquisition and large AI...
User avatar
New Narrative • Jun 15

The trap for retailers that can evaporate more than 80% of the value.

EQUITY RESEARCH NOTE: SPACEX (SPCX) – VALUE REALIGNMENT Rating: Underweight / Avoid Current Price: $160.95 | Target Price Range: $21.41 – $28.55 Core Metric: Multiple Contraction & Scarcity Premium Dissipation. Investment Thesis: Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 13

AI Infrastructure in Space? The market said yes like it’s already a reality

SpaceX didn’t just deliver the largest IPO in history by dollars raised. It also entered the public market at one of the richest valuations ever seen for a company of its size.
User avatar
New Narrative • Jun 12

Hitting Escape Velocity with a Single Point of Failure

SpaceX owns one of the most entrenched constraints in the economy: cheap mass-to-orbit. It converts that into a deeper one, orbital bandwidth, through Starlink.
User avatar
New Narrative • Jun 06

Making sense of 1.75 trillion IPO

SpaceX is expected to go public under the ticker SPCX. There has been a huge amount of attention leading up to the listing, which isn’t surprising.
User avatar
New Narrative • Jun 06

SpaceX? Only Fast in - Fast out!

This text was written one week before SpaceX’s IPO , which is scheduled to take place on June 12, 2026, at $135 per share. Facts About Profitability Although SpaceX’s revenue is growing steadily, the company as a whole is generating a net loss.

Shareholder Returns

SPCXUS TelecomUS Market
7D0.1%0.2%-1.5%
1Yn/a0.4%13.3%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how SPCX performed against the US Telecom industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how SPCX performed against the US Market.

Price Volatility

Is SPCX's price volatile compared to industry and market?
SPCX volatility
SPCX Average Weekly Movement12.6%
Telecom Industry Average Movement9.2%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: SPCX's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: Insufficient data to determine SPCX's volatility change over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
200222,000Elon Muskwww.spacex.com

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, Canada, and internationally. It operates through three operating segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. The Space segment designs, manufactures, and launches reusable rockets to provide access to space.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Fundamentals Summary

How do Space Exploration Technologies's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
SPCX fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.05t
Earnings (TTM)-US$8.89b
Revenue (TTM)US$23.04b
87.3x
P/S Ratio
-226.2x
P/E Ratio

Is SPCX overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
SPCX income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$23.04b
Cost of RevenueUS$11.09b
Gross ProfitUS$11.95b
Other ExpensesUS$20.84b
Earnings-US$8.89b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.65
Gross Margin51.87%
Net Profit Margin-38.57%
Debt/Equity Ratio30.1%

How did SPCX perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 08:01
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/14 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. is covered by 39 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew Charles BealeArete Research Services LLP
Douglas HarnedBernstein
Ronald EpsteinBofA Global Research

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