IonQ Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
IonQ's earnings are forecast to decline at 46.9% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 34.5% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 47.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -4.9% in 3 years.
Key information
-46.9%
Earnings growth rate
-47.65%
EPS growth rate
| Tech earnings growth | 11.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 34.5% |
| Future return on equity | -4.90% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 09
IonQ: The Most Complete Pure-Play Quantum Investment
Summary IonQ reported record Q1 FY26 revenues of $65M, raised full-year guidance to $260–270M, and achieved 554% YoY RPO growth to $470M. IONQ’s acquisitions of Oxford Ionics and pending SkyWater Technology position it for exponential scalability, targeting 10,000–20,000 qubits by 2027–2028. With $3B in cash, IONQ is pursuing vertical integration across quantum computing, networking, security, and manufacturing, aiming for a dominant industry lead. Trading at a forward P/S of 79.5 with projected 104% FY25–26 revenue growth, IONQ is viewed as an attractive entry for long-term quantum exposure. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 08
Will Aggressive R&D and Hardware Scaling Drive IonQ's Future Growth?
Usage of liquidity allows IonQ to pursue aggressive R&D, scale manufacturing independently, and absorb heavy annual losses without the immediate threat of diluting shareholders just to fund daily operations. Although I maintain my belief in the company's long-term potential as an ecosystem monopoly, I have revised my fair value target down from the $118+ to the $75+ due to the its fundamental metrics on its financial numbers (income-cash flow) in comparison with last year's.
New Narrative • May 13
The Best-Funded Quantum Platform and Still a Stock Priced for Perfection
Rating: Speculative Buy / Premium-priced quantum leader Style: Deep-tech platform with commercial momentum, but still pre-profit Core debate: Is IonQ the strongest public quantum platform because it combines the best balance sheet, the broadest product ambition, and the fastest current revenue scale, or is the stock already discounting too much future success in a still-unproven industry? Executive view The company just reported Q1 2026 revenue of $64.7 million , raised full-year revenue guidance to $260–270 million , and ended the quarter with Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) of $470 million.
New Narrative • Mar 12
IonQ: Exceptional Technology but Valuation Far Ahead of Financial Reality
Artificial intelligence has dominated technology markets in recent years and driven enormous investment into computing infrastructure. If AI represents the current frontier of computing, quantum computing could represent the next major paradigm shift.Narrative Update • Nov 10
Is IonQ (IONQ) on Course to Become the "Nvidia of Quantum"?
The market is upside down. IONQ is the clear winner of this race.Seeking Alpha • Apr 26
IonQ: Thank The Selloff For This Speculative Buy Opportunity (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Our caution surrounding the dangers of chasing overpriced stocks in an overly exuberant stock market has paid off well, as IonQ pulls back by -51% since 52 week heights. Thanks to the cheaper valuations, growing top-lines, expanding multi-year RPOs, and ongoing contract wins, the quantum stock looks a lot more compelling here. Combined with its strategic partnership with NVDA on CUDA-Q, IONQ may be quickly emerging as a potential long-term winner in the quantum computing arena. Despite our upgraded speculative Buy rating, we shall discuss numerous caveats/ risks tied to IONQ's investment thesis in detail. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 03
IonQ Is Trading At Dangerous, Speculation Level Valuations
Summary IonQ's revenue guidance is significantly below expectations, and management's cessation of bookings disclosures reduces top-line visibility, raising concerns for GARP-oriented investors. Despite worsening FCF burn due to increased SG&A expenses, IonQ has a solid liquidity runway of over 5 years, bolstered by recent funding. The acquisition of ID Quantique to enhance IonQ's quantum networking IP portfolio makes sense. And I think it is occurring at a reasonable valuation. IonQ trades at a 42% discount to peers, but I think a 1-yr fwd EV/Revenue multiple of 57x is still high. The technicals suggest further downside as well vs S&P500. IONQ stock may be a crowded bearish trade. So a short squeeze risk is something I am watching out for by tracking the short interest. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 26
IonQ: Building A Unique Quantum Edge
Summary IonQ's unique trapped-ion technology and strategic partnerships drive strong growth, making shares a strong buy despite recent selloff. New CEO de Masi's focus on commercialization and scaling, along with key acquisitions, enhances IonQ's market position. IonQ's robust patent portfolio and government contracts provide a significant competitive edge in the growing quantum computing market. High-risk, high-reward opportunity with potential for transformative long-term gains; strong buy recommendation remains despite short-term volatility. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 10
Quantum Crash: IonQ's Stock Is Entangled In A Market Sell-Off
Summary I believe IonQ’s high beta (4.1) makes it extremely vulnerable to broader market declines, with recent historical drops exceeding 7x the S&P 500’s decline. Considering the uncertain macro environment in the U.S., I find IonQ’s triple digit TTM P/S ratio unsustainable, especially as fundamentals and valuation start to matter again. IonQ’s annual cash burn is over $100 million, with a cash runway of just over three years unless it heavily dilutes shareholders via its $500 million ATM program. I acknowledge IonQ’s 2024 revenue nearly doubled YoY, and government contracts continue to support bookings, with 2025 revenue guidance reaching up to $95 million. While new government funding and enterprise expansion are positives, I anticipate broader market headwinds will outweigh these factors, leading me to a strong sell rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 638 | -868 | -182 | -101 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 389 | -885 | -291 | -219 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 269 | 159 | -335 | -271 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 187 | 309 | -424 | -401 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 130 | -510 | -300 | -283 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 80 | -1,466 | -265 | -248 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 52 | -464 | -160 | -144 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 43 | -324 | -134 | -118 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 43 | -332 | -124 | -106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 37 | -172 | -119 | -93 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 31 | -164 | -124 | -96 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 25 | -170 | -108 | -85 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 22 | -158 | -93 | -79 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 20 | -135 | -80 | -67 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 16 | -114 | -67 | -58 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 13 | -72 | -62 | -50 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 11 | -49 | -57 | -45 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9 | -104 | -48 | -34 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6 | -95 | -48 | -34 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 4 | -103 | -42 | -31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2 | -106 | -37 | -27 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 0 | -37 | -35 | -26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 0 | -26 | -25 | -16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 0 | -19 | -24 | -14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | N/A | -15 | -24 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 0 | -9 | N/A | -8 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: IONQ's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-46.9% per year).
Earnings vs Market: IONQ's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-46.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: IONQ's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: IONQ's revenue (34.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: IONQ's revenue (34.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: IONQ is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/14 06:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
IonQ, Inc. is covered by 18 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Williams | Benchmark Company |
| Craig Ellis | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Troy Jensen | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |