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Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Tyler Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSE:TYL) P/S Ratio
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.1x Tyler Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:TYL) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 1.7x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Tyler Technologies
How Tyler Technologies Has Been Performing
Tyler Technologies could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Tyler Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Tyler Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tyler Technologies would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.8% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 76% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.7% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's alarming that Tyler Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've concluded that Tyler Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Tyler Technologies that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tyler Technologies, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tyler Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:TYL
Tyler Technologies
Provides integrated information management solutions and services for the public sector.