Stock Analysis

What DXC Technology (DXC)'s Landmark Metropolitan Police Contract Win Means For Shareholders

  • On November 10, 2025, the Metropolitan Police Service announced that DXC Technology has been chosen as the Master Vendor in a 7+1+1 year contract to provide business process outsourcing services and implement replacement ERP and Resource Management systems.
  • This significant public sector win highlights DXC’s recognized capacity for large-scale digital transformation, further underlined by recent industry accolades for innovation and leadership in government AI solutions.
  • We'll explore how this major engagement, bringing modernization to the UK's largest police force, might influence DXC Technology's investment narrative going forward.

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DXC Technology Investment Narrative Recap

To have conviction as a DXC Technology shareholder, one needs to believe that large-scale digital transformation contracts like the Metropolitan Police Service win can help reverse persistent organic revenue declines and position the company for more stable growth, despite ongoing competitive and margin pressures. While landing this major public sector engagement is evidence of demand for modernized IT and AI-driven services, the contract alone is unlikely to materially alter the short-term outlook, with management still guiding for organic revenue declines of 3-5% for fiscal 2026. Among recent company announcements, the October completion of DXC’s substantial share buyback program stands out but holds limited immediate relevance to the operational momentum suggested by the Metropolitan Police Service contract. The program’s completion does, however, highlight the company’s emphasis on capital returns, while revenue stabilization remains a central catalyst for investors tracking the conversion of new business wins into sustainable earnings. Yet, investors should be mindful that even with new contracts, DXC still faces the risk of...

Read the full narrative on DXC Technology (it's free!)

DXC Technology's narrative projects $12.1 billion in revenue and $208.6 million in earnings by 2028. This reflects a -1.7% yearly revenue decline and a decrease of $170.4 million in earnings from the current $379.0 million.

Uncover how DXC Technology's forecasts yield a $14.50 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

DXC Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
DXC Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community estimates put DXC’s fair value anywhere between US$8 and US$261, with six distinct viewpoints represented. While opinions on valuation span a wide spectrum, persistent organic revenue decline remains a central concern and could have broader implications for DXC’s ability to deliver on investor expectations.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on DXC Technology - why the stock might be worth 40% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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