Stock Analysis

    Here's What You Should Know About Qiwi plc's (NASDAQ:QIWI) 5.1% Dividend Yield

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    Is Qiwi plc (NASDAQ:QIWI) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. If you are hoping to live on the income from dividends, it's important to be a lot more stringent with your investments than the average punter.

    In this case, Qiwi likely looks attractive to dividend investors, given its 5.1% dividend yield and seven-year payment history. We'd agree the yield does look enticing. Remember though, given the recent drop in its share price, Qiwi's yield will look higher, even though the market may now be expecting a decline in its long-term prospects. Some simple research can reduce the risk of buying Qiwi for its dividend - read on to learn more.

    Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Qiwi!

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    NasdaqGS:QIWI Historic Dividend December 28th 2020

    Payout ratios

    Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. So we need to form a view on if a company's dividend is sustainable, relative to its net profit after tax. Looking at the data, we can see that 75% of Qiwi's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. A payout ratio above 50% generally implies a business is reaching maturity, although it is still possible to reinvest in the business or increase the dividend over time.

    In addition to comparing dividends against profits, we should inspect whether the company generated enough cash to pay its dividend. Qiwi's cash payout ratio in the last year was 43%, which suggests dividends were well covered by cash generated by the business. It's positive to see that Qiwi's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

    While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Qiwi's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

    Consider getting our latest analysis on Qiwi's financial position here.

    Dividend Volatility

    Before buying a stock for its income, we want to see if the dividends have been stable in the past, and if the company has a track record of maintaining its dividend. Qiwi has been paying a dividend for the past seven years. Although it has been paying a dividend for several years now, the dividend has been cut at least once, and we're cautious about the consistency of its dividend across a full economic cycle. During the past seven-year period, the first annual payment was ₽40.6 in 2013, compared to ₽39.6 last year. The dividend has shrunk at a rate of less than 1% a year over this period.

    A shrinking dividend over a seven-year period is not ideal, and we'd be concerned about investing in a dividend stock that lacks a solid record of growing dividends per share.

    Dividend Growth Potential

    With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share (EPS) are growing. Why take the risk of a dividend getting cut, unless there's a good chance of bigger dividends in future? Qiwi's earnings per share have been essentially flat over the past five years. Over the long term, steady earnings per share is a risk as the value of the dividends can be reduced by inflation.

    Conclusion

    Dividend investors should always want to know if a) a company's dividends are affordable, b) if there is a track record of consistent payments, and c) if the dividend is capable of growing. Qiwi's payout ratios are within a normal range for the average corporation, and we like that its cashflow was stronger than reported profits. Second, earnings per share have been in decline, and its dividend has been cut at least once in the past. While we're not hugely bearish on it, overall we think there are potentially better dividend stocks than Qiwi out there.

    Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Qiwi has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

    Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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