AppFolio, Inc.

NasdaqGM:APPF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.0b

AppFolio Valuation

Is APPF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of APPF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Fair Value: APPF ($221.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($210.56)

Significantly Below Fair Value: APPF is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APPF?

Key metric: As APPF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for APPF. This is calculated by dividing APPF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is APPF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio39.3x
EarningsUS$203.75m
Market CapUS$8.00b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does APPF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for APPF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.8x
IDCC InterDigital
16.3x-29.26%US$8.0b
CWAN Clearwater Analytics Holdings
17.7x11.78%US$7.1b
HUT Hut 8
32.6x-120.94%US$6.6b
OTEX Open Text
16.4x20.00%US$8.3b
APPF AppFolio
39x4.94%US$8.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: APPF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).


Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does APPF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MARA MARA Holdings
4.5x-101.18%US$4.03b
EXOD Exodus Movement
4.9x-33.44%US$534.44m
XNET Xunlei
0.4xn/aUS$519.92m
TONX TON Strategy
2.3xn/aUS$173.14m
APPF 39.3xIndustry Avg. 33.0xNo. of Companies13PE020406080100+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: APPF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39x) compared to the US Software industry average (33x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APPF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APPF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio39.3x
Fair PE Ratio26.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: APPF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst APPF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$221.17
US$311.83
+40.99%
8.71%US$350.00US$270.00n/a6
Jan ’27US$232.65
US$311.83
+34.04%
8.71%US$350.00US$270.00n/a6
Dec ’26US$227.11
US$317.20
+39.67%
8.42%US$350.00US$270.00n/a5
Nov ’26US$254.43
US$317.20
+24.67%
8.42%US$350.00US$270.00n/a5
Oct ’26US$256.54
US$341.50
+33.12%
6.96%US$375.00US$311.00n/a4
Sep ’26US$277.38
US$337.50
+21.67%
8.67%US$375.00US$295.00n/a4
Aug ’26US$319.15
US$331.25
+3.79%
6.78%US$350.00US$295.00n/a4
Jul ’26US$229.81
US$234.94
+2.23%
18.83%US$300.00US$186.69n/a5
Jun ’26US$211.17
US$246.82
+16.88%
15.03%US$300.00US$205.00n/a5
May ’26US$206.63
US$252.35
+22.13%
14.28%US$300.00US$205.00n/a6
Apr ’26US$222.43
US$279.19
+25.52%
13.91%US$328.00US$210.00n/a6
Mar ’26US$214.50
US$279.19
+30.16%
13.91%US$328.00US$210.00n/a6
Feb ’26US$233.91
US$274.85
+17.50%
15.22%US$328.00US$210.00n/a6
Jan ’26US$246.72
US$267.02
+8.23%
15.67%US$328.00US$193.00US$232.657
Dec ’25US$253.75
US$272.17
+7.26%
15.83%US$328.00US$193.00US$227.116
Nov ’25US$208.52
US$272.17
+30.52%
15.83%US$328.00US$193.00US$254.436
Oct ’25US$232.20
US$293.71
+26.49%
7.10%US$328.00US$255.00US$256.547
Sep ’25US$231.99
US$293.71
+26.61%
7.10%US$328.00US$255.00US$277.387
Aug ’25US$215.69
US$293.71
+36.17%
7.10%US$328.00US$255.00US$319.157
Jul ’25US$243.36
US$266.86
+9.66%
8.08%US$295.00US$235.00US$229.817
Jun ’25US$228.32
US$262.17
+14.82%
7.52%US$285.00US$235.00US$211.176
May ’25US$230.11
US$258.66
+12.41%
7.80%US$285.00US$235.00US$206.637
Apr ’25US$241.18
US$243.51
+0.97%
7.57%US$275.00US$215.00US$222.437
Mar ’25US$242.13
US$242.09
-0.018%
7.08%US$275.00US$215.00US$214.507
Feb ’25US$226.68
US$235.66
+3.96%
6.06%US$254.00US$215.00US$233.917
Jan ’25US$173.24
US$231.60
+33.69%
10.82%US$255.00US$185.00US$246.725
US$311.83
Fair Value
29.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/01/13 23:20
End of Day Share Price 2026/01/12 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AppFolio, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Justin AgesBerenberg
William JellisonD.A. Davidson & Co.
Clark WrightD.A. Davidson & Co.