Stock Analysis

JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) Stock Catapults 30% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

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NYSE:JKS

Despite an already strong run, JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (NYSE:JKS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 17% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, JinkoSolar Holding's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Semiconductor industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for JinkoSolar Holding

NYSE:JKS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 13th 2024

How JinkoSolar Holding Has Been Performing

JinkoSolar Holding could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on JinkoSolar Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, JinkoSolar Holding would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.9%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 208% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.5% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 25% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why JinkoSolar Holding is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On JinkoSolar Holding's P/S

JinkoSolar Holding's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of JinkoSolar Holding's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for JinkoSolar Holding you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of JinkoSolar Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.