Daqo New Energy Valuation

Is DQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DQ ($15.07) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DQ is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DQ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DQ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.001x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA0.004x
PEG Ratio0.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
ACMR ACM Research
14.1x17.3%US$1.2b
PLAB Photronics
11.3x2.1%US$1.6b
VECO Veeco Instruments
25.6x12.0%US$2.2b
AEHR Aehr Test Systems
12xn/aUS$427.7m
DQ Daqo New Energy
6x47.4%US$1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a25.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (28.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6x
Fair PE Ratio47.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$15.07
US$22.63
+50.2%
26.6%US$38.40US$17.50n/a9
Aug ’25US$16.09
US$23.41
+45.5%
24.8%US$38.40US$17.50n/a9
Jul ’25US$14.31
US$27.83
+94.4%
32.5%US$45.00US$17.50n/a8
Jun ’25US$22.52
US$27.83
+23.6%
32.5%US$45.00US$17.50n/a8
May ’25US$18.76
US$29.45
+57.0%
30.3%US$45.00US$18.70n/a8
Apr ’25US$28.04
US$29.45
+5.0%
30.3%US$45.00US$18.70n/a8
Mar ’25US$22.89
US$28.44
+24.2%
33.5%US$45.00US$17.90n/a8
Feb ’25US$18.18
US$31.31
+72.2%
25.4%US$45.00US$18.70n/a8
Jan ’25US$26.60
US$35.49
+33.4%
39.3%US$67.70US$22.80n/a8
Dec ’24US$24.78
US$38.56
+55.6%
40.9%US$67.70US$22.80n/a9
Nov ’24US$24.90
US$38.67
+55.3%
40.7%US$67.70US$22.80n/a9
Oct ’24US$30.27
US$50.05
+65.3%
39.6%US$102.00US$31.00n/a11
Sep ’24US$36.81
US$51.23
+39.2%
37.2%US$102.00US$31.00n/a11
Aug ’24US$38.05
US$58.57
+53.9%
31.0%US$102.00US$42.80US$16.0912
Jul ’24US$39.70
US$60.05
+51.3%
29.0%US$102.00US$45.00US$14.3112
Jun ’24US$37.39
US$60.88
+62.8%
28.2%US$102.00US$45.00US$22.5212
May ’24US$47.78
US$61.37
+28.4%
27.4%US$102.00US$45.00US$18.7612
Apr ’24US$46.84
US$62.12
+32.6%
26.6%US$102.00US$44.60US$28.0412
Mar ’24US$47.29
US$63.96
+35.3%
27.5%US$102.00US$44.60US$22.8913
Feb ’24US$47.62
US$66.11
+38.8%
26.5%US$102.00US$42.40US$18.1812
Jan ’24US$38.61
US$71.28
+84.6%
28.4%US$103.00US$50.00US$26.6012
Dec ’23US$53.24
US$78.07
+46.6%
35.0%US$140.00US$50.00US$24.7812
Nov ’23US$44.05
US$77.07
+75.0%
34.6%US$140.00US$50.00US$24.9012
Oct ’23US$53.08
US$87.09
+64.1%
28.9%US$140.00US$44.00US$30.2712
Sep ’23US$68.28
US$88.34
+29.4%
27.7%US$140.00US$44.00US$36.8112
Aug ’23US$61.23
US$84.92
+38.7%
33.7%US$137.00US$44.00US$38.0511

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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