Stock Analysis

Exploring Undervalued US Stocks With Intrinsic Discounts Ranging From 18.6% to 44.2%

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Recent market turbulence, highlighted by a significant drop in major U.S. indices such as the Nasdaq and S&P 500, has left investors cautious but also watchful for opportunities. In this climate, identifying undervalued stocks—those trading below their intrinsic value—can be particularly compelling for those looking to invest during uncertain times.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United States

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
UMB Financial (NasdaqGS:UMBF)$95.80$189.5949.5%
Sachem Capital (NYSEAM:SACH)$2.65$5.2949.9%
Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:WAL)$76.59$150.4949.1%
Daqo New Energy (NYSE:DQ)$16.73$32.8549.1%
First Community (NasdaqCM:FCCO)$22.13$43.6849.3%
Duckhorn Portfolio (NYSE:NAPA)$7.20$14.4050%
WEX (NYSE:WEX)$178.79$353.8149.5%
Tompkins Financial (NYSEAM:TMP)$60.72$119.5749.2%
Ichor Holdings (NasdaqGS:ICHR)$35.02$68.2948.7%
Zillow Group (NasdaqGS:ZG)$46.27$91.1349.2%

Click here to see the full list of 190 stocks from our Undervalued US Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's dive into some prime choices out of from the screener.

Enphase Energy (NasdaqGM:ENPH)

Overview: Enphase Energy, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells home energy solutions for the solar photovoltaic industry globally, with a market capitalization of approximately $14.04 billion.

Operations: The company generates its revenue from the global sale of home energy solutions for the solar photovoltaic industry.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 38.1%

Enphase Energy, currently priced at US$116.91, is significantly undervalued by DCF metrics with an estimated fair value of US$188.89. Despite a challenging recent quarter with substantial revenue and net income declines from the previous year, Enphase's strategic launches like the powerful IQ® Battery 5P™ and expansions into new markets underscore its growth trajectory. The company forecasts robust earnings growth significantly above market trends and anticipates a high return on equity in the coming years, aligning it as a potentially undervalued stock based on future cash flows.

NasdaqGM:ENPH Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

First Solar (NasdaqGS:FSLR)

Overview: First Solar, Inc. is a solar technology company that offers photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions globally, with a market capitalization of approximately $23.87 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its Modules segment, which amounted to $3.55 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.2%

First Solar, trading at US$221.33, appears undervalued based on DCF with a fair value of US$396.8, indicating a 44.2% discount. The company's earnings are expected to grow by 27.32% annually, outpacing the US market forecast of 15%. Despite significant insider selling recently, First Solar's high non-cash earnings and a recent leap in annual profits by over 2360% highlight its financial health and potential for sustained growth. Additionally, recent investments in R&D and manufacturing aim to bolster future capabilities and market position.

NasdaqGS:FSLR Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT)

Overview: Spotify Technology S.A., along with its subsidiaries, offers audio streaming subscription services globally and has a market capitalization of approximately $65.85 billion.

Operations: The firm generates revenue primarily through two streams: Premium subscriptions, which contribute €12.10 billion, and ad-supported services, accounting for €1.74 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 18.6%

Spotify Technology, currently priced at US$336.52, is trading below its calculated fair value of US$413.43, suggesting a potential undervaluation. The firm has recently transitioned to profitability with a net income of EUR 274 million in Q2 2024, a significant improvement from a net loss the previous year. Expected to grow earnings by 38.02% annually, Spotify's revenue growth also exceeds the US market forecast at 12.1% per year compared to 8.7%. Despite recent index adjustments and shareholder dilution over the past year, these financial metrics indicate promising cash flow prospects.

NYSE:SPOT Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Summing It All Up

Curious About Other Options?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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