Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy Pool Corporation (NASDAQ:POOL)?

NasdaqGS:POOL
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Let's talk about the popular Pool Corporation (NASDAQ:POOL). The company's shares saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGS. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Pool’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Pool

Is Pool Still Cheap?

According to my valuation model, Pool seems to be fairly priced at around 19.87% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Pool today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $301.61, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. What's more, Pool’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.

What does the future of Pool look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:POOL Earnings and Revenue Growth March 6th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Pool, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 2.9%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? POOL’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on POOL, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Pool as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Pool.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.