Stock Analysis

Newmark Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NMRK) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

NasdaqGS:NMRK
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Newmark Group's (NASDAQ:NMRK) stock is up by a considerable 27% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Newmark Group's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Newmark Group

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Newmark Group is:

3.3% = US$52m ÷ US$1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.03.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Newmark Group's Earnings Growth And 3.3% ROE

As you can see, Newmark Group's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 5.7%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Newmark Group over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

As a next step, we compared Newmark Group's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 14% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:NMRK Past Earnings Growth July 26th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is NMRK fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Newmark Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Newmark Group has a low three-year median payout ratio of 8.2% (or a retention ratio of 92%) but the negligible earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention.

In addition, Newmark Group has been paying dividends over a period of six years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Newmark Group. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.