Stock Analysis

Can Nektar Therapeutics’ (NKTR) Narrowed Loss Offset Concerns About Declining Revenue Momentum?

  • Nektar Therapeutics reported its third quarter 2025 earnings, posting revenue of US$11.79 million and a net loss of US$35.52 million, both declining compared to the previous year.
  • While revenue has decreased significantly year-over-year, the company's net loss narrowed, indicating some improvement in expense management even amid ongoing challenges.
  • We'll now consider how the sharp year-over-year drop in revenue may affect Nektar's overall investment narrative and future prospects.

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Nektar Therapeutics Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Nektar Therapeutics, you need to have confidence in the long-term potential of its pipeline, especially the clinical and regulatory progress of REZPEG. The recent Q3 earnings showed a steep year-over-year drop in revenue but narrower net losses, and while these results highlight continued financial pressures, they don't materially change the immediate focus on data readouts and regulatory milestones as the key short-term catalyst. The biggest risk remains the company’s pre-commercial status and limited cash runway, which puts pressure on management to secure funding or strong clinical results soon.

Of the recent announcements, the late-breaking presentation of new REZOLVE-AD Phase 2b data at the ACAAI Annual Scientific Meeting stands out. This aligns directly with the company’s catalyst: strong clinical data could support regulatory progress and future commercial prospects for REZPEG in atopic dermatitis, which remains core to Nektar’s investment story.

Yet, despite positive clinical news, the risks linked to ongoing cash burn and the challenge of funding late-stage trials are details investors should be aware of…

Read the full narrative on Nektar Therapeutics (it's free!)

Nektar Therapeutics is projected to reach $40.9 million in revenue and $9.5 million in earnings by 2028. This forecast assumes an annual revenue decline of 18.3% and a $131.8 million increase in earnings from the current level of -$122.3 million.

Uncover how Nektar Therapeutics' forecasts yield a $93.86 fair value, a 68% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

NKTR Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
NKTR Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Four individual fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range, from US$1.74 to US$120 per share. While some see high long-term promise, the company’s share price remains under pressure from extended unprofitability and a shrinking cash runway, so check several views as investors are weighing very different paths to success.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Nektar Therapeutics - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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