Stock Analysis

We're Hopeful That KalVista Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:KALV) Will Use Its Cash Wisely

NasdaqGM:KALV
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So should KalVista Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:KALV) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

View our latest analysis for KalVista Pharmaceuticals

When Might KalVista Pharmaceuticals Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at January 2021, KalVista Pharmaceuticals had cash of US$50m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was US$32m. Therefore, from January 2021 it had roughly 19 months of cash runway. Importantly, analysts think that KalVista Pharmaceuticals will reach cashflow breakeven in 3 years. Essentially, that means the company will either reduce its cash burn, or else require more cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:KALV Debt to Equity History July 2nd 2021

How Well Is KalVista Pharmaceuticals Growing?

It was fairly positive to see that KalVista Pharmaceuticals reduced its cash burn by 26% during the last year. In contrast, however, operating revenue tanked 68% during the period. Considering both these metrics, we're a little concerned about how the company is developing. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

Can KalVista Pharmaceuticals Raise More Cash Easily?

KalVista Pharmaceuticals seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$598m, KalVista Pharmaceuticals' US$32m in cash burn equates to about 5.3% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is KalVista Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its falling revenue makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought KalVista Pharmaceuticals' cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. One real positive is that analysts are forecasting that the company will reach breakeven. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 5 warning signs for KalVista Pharmaceuticals (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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