Stock Analysis

Insmed Incorporated's (NASDAQ:INSM) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Published
NasdaqGS:INSM

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 38.1x Insmed Incorporated (NASDAQ:INSM) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 11.7x and even P/S lower than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Insmed

NasdaqGS:INSM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 12th 2024

How Insmed Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Insmed has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Insmed's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Insmed's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Insmed's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 93% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 66% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 141% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it concerning that Insmed is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Insmed, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Insmed has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.