Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping G1 Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GTHX) Muted Revenues Despite A 80% Share Price Rise

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NasdaqGS:GTHX

Those holding G1 Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:GTHX) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 80% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 70%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, G1 Therapeutics may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.5x and even P/S higher than 63x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for G1 Therapeutics

NasdaqGS:GTHX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 26th 2024

How Has G1 Therapeutics Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, G1 Therapeutics has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think G1 Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, G1 Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 47%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 41% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 49% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 193% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why G1 Therapeutics' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

G1 Therapeutics' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of G1 Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for G1 Therapeutics you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.