Stock Analysis

Cara Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CARA) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Revenues

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NasdaqCM:CARA

Cara Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CARA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.7x and even P/S above 15x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Cara Therapeutics

NasdaqCM:CARA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 1st 2024

What Does Cara Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Cara Therapeutics could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Keen to find out how analysts think Cara Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Cara Therapeutics' Revenue Growth Trending?

Cara Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 60%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 91% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.3% per annum as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Cara Therapeutics' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Cara Therapeutics' P/S?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Cara Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Cara Therapeutics (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.