Stock Analysis

Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

NasdaqGM:TTD
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, from a first glance at Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Trade Desk:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.05 = US$107m ÷ (US$4.0b - US$1.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, Trade Desk has an ROCE of 5.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Media industry average of 9.5%.

See our latest analysis for Trade Desk

roce
NasdaqGM:TTD Return on Capital Employed June 4th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Trade Desk compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Trade Desk.

SWOT Analysis for Trade Desk

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Expensive based on P/S ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

The Trend Of ROCE

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Trade Desk, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.0% from 29% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a related note, Trade Desk has decreased its current liabilities to 46% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE. Keep in mind 46% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.

In Conclusion...

While returns have fallen for Trade Desk in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 738% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.

If you want to continue researching Trade Desk, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

While Trade Desk isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.