Aura Minerals Inc.

OTCPK:ORAA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$904.3m

Aura Minerals Valuation

Is ORAA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORAA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORAA.F ($12.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($61.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORAA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORAA.F?

Key metric: As ORAA.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ORAA.F. This is calculated by dividing ORAA.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ORAA.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.7x
SalesUS$546.97m
Market CapUS$904.32m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ORAA.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ORAA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.5x
DRD DRDGOLD
2.4x11.0%US$833.9m
MUX McEwen Mining
2.2x18.4%US$450.9m
CDE Coeur Mining
2.6x17.0%US$2.6b
BVN Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA
2.8x2.0%US$3.1b
ORAA.F Aura Minerals
1.7x14.8%US$1.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ORAA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the peer average (2.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ORAA.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TX Ternium
0.4x2.7%US$6.55b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.3x4.1%US$5.87b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
CSTM Constellium
0.3x9.3%US$1.76b
ORAA.F 1.7xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies25PS0246810+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ORAA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORAA.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORAA.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.7x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ORAA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORAA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.86
US$10.63
-17.4%
35.3%US$14.44US$5.53n/a3
Nov ’25US$12.56
US$10.62
-15.4%
34.7%US$14.39US$5.61n/a3
Oct ’25US$11.93
US$9.74
-18.3%
41.7%US$12.98US$4.01n/a3
Sep ’25US$9.61
US$9.74
+1.4%
41.7%US$12.98US$4.01n/a3
Aug ’25US$10.03
US$11.78
+17.4%
10.8%US$12.78US$9.99n/a3
Jul ’25US$8.96
US$11.41
+27.3%
9.7%US$12.64US$9.96n/a3
Jun ’25US$8.82
US$10.67
+20.9%
11.3%US$12.47US$9.27n/a4
May ’25US$7.41
US$10.57
+42.6%
9.9%US$12.07US$9.27n/a4
Apr ’25US$7.65
US$9.97
+30.3%
6.9%US$11.06US$9.26n/a4
Mar ’25US$6.45
US$9.98
+54.7%
7.1%US$11.10US$9.23n/a4
Feb ’25US$6.68
US$11.13
+66.7%
14.5%US$14.20US$9.60n/a5
Jan ’25US$7.06
US$10.91
+54.5%
14.5%US$13.98US$9.53n/a5
Dec ’24US$7.33
US$10.81
+47.4%
13.9%US$13.74US$9.61n/a5
Nov ’24n/a
US$11.09
0%
13.8%US$13.97US$9.66US$12.565
Oct ’24US$6.31
US$11.07
+75.5%
11.2%US$13.21US$9.66US$11.935
Sep ’24US$6.70
US$11.10
+65.6%
11.2%US$13.25US$9.66US$9.615
Aug ’24n/a
US$11.56
0%
14.5%US$14.43US$9.68US$10.035
Jul ’24US$6.76
US$11.42
+69.1%
12.7%US$13.48US$9.42US$8.965
Jun ’24US$7.20
US$11.38
+58.0%
12.6%US$13.48US$9.42US$8.825
May ’24US$7.92
US$11.67
+47.3%
15.5%US$13.36US$8.27US$7.415
Apr ’24US$7.66
US$11.36
+48.3%
16.0%US$13.22US$8.16US$7.655
Mar ’24US$7.40
US$11.36
+53.5%
16.0%US$13.22US$8.16US$6.455
Feb ’24US$8.40
US$12.14
+44.5%
21.9%US$15.63US$8.27US$6.684
Jan ’24US$5.91
US$12.14
+105.5%
22.3%US$15.81US$8.31US$7.064
Dec ’23US$5.80
US$12.16
+109.7%
22.2%US$15.81US$8.31US$7.334
Nov ’23US$7.36
US$12.25
+66.4%
16.8%US$15.23US$9.62n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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